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Head to Head

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Dalton Kincaid vs Hunter HenryWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Hunter Henry's 8.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Dalton Kincaid and Hunter Henry are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.1-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEBuffalo Bills#11PPG LEADER
Dalton Kincaid
PPG
8.9
Games
12
Rec
39
Rec Yds
571
Rec TDs
5
Targets
49
Bye
Week 7
TENew England Patriots#13
Hunter Henry
PPG
8.8
Games
17
Rec
60
Rec Yds
768
Rec TDs
7
Targets
87
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dalton Kincaid
Hunter Henry

Head to Head

8.9 PPG8.8 PPG
12 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Hunter Henry: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #13 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dalton Kincaid is producing at 40% of elite pace and Hunter Henry at 40%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Dalton Kincaid vs Hunter Henry: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Dalton Kincaid finished the 2025 season at 8.9 PPG over 12 games with the Buffalo Bills, while Hunter Henry clocked in at 8.8 across 17 appearances for the New England Patriots. A 0.1-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Hunter Henry is the volume tight end in this matchup with 60 receptions for 768 yards, while Dalton Kincaid profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (5 scores on 39 catches). In weeks where Dalton Kincaid finds the end zone he out-scores Hunter Henry, but the floor gap is real.

One scheduling note: Dalton Kincaid is off Week 7 and Hunter Henry Week 11. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Hunter Henry (age 31) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Dalton Kincaid outscored Hunter Henry by a projected 2 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Hunter Henry played 17 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Hunter Henry contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Hunter Henry scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Hunter Henry saw 87 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
  • Dalton Kincaid is 5 years younger than Hunter Henry (26 vs 31), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid vs Hunter Henry: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDalton KincaidHunter Henry
PPG (Half-PPR)8.98.8
Games Played1217
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)107150
Receptions3960
Rec/Game3.33.5
Receiving Yards571768
Rec Yds/Game47.645.2
Receiving TDs57
Targets4987
Target Share/Game4.15.1
Age2631
Experience2 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 11

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Dalton Kincaid at 8.9 PPG, 0.1 points per game above Hunter Henry's 8.8. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Hunter Henry in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Dalton Kincaid has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Hunter Henry's 8.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid and Hunter Henry average in 2025?

Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Hunter Henry averaged 8.8 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.1 points per game.

When are Dalton Kincaid and Hunter Henry's bye weeks in 2026?

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Hunter Henry (NE) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dalton Kincaid or Hunter Henry a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Dalton Kincaid outscored Hunter Henry by 0.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.