Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Dalton Kincaid vs Jake TongesWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Jake Tonges's 8.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Dalton Kincaid edges Jake Tonges by 0.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Dalton Kincaid goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEBuffalo Bills#11PPG LEADER

Dalton Kincaid

PPG

8.9

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

571

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TESan Francisco 49ers#15

Jake Tonges

PPG

8.5

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

293

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Dalton Kincaid

Jake Tonges

Head to Head

8.9 PPG8.5 PPG

12 GP9 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Jake Tonges: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #15 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dalton Kincaid is producing at 40% of elite pace and Jake Tonges at 39%. That ranking gap means Dalton Kincaid carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dalton Kincaid vs Jake Tonges: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Dalton Kincaid finished the 2025 season at 8.9 PPG over 12 games with the Buffalo Bills, while Jake Tonges clocked in at 8.5 across 9 appearances for the San Francisco 49ers. A 0.4-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Dalton Kincaid had 39 catches for 571 yards; Jake Tonges posted 34 for 293. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

One scheduling note: Dalton Kincaid is off Week 7 and Jake Tonges Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Jake Tonges (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Dalton Kincaid outscored Jake Tonges by a projected 7 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Dalton Kincaid played 12 games in 2025 compared to Jake Tonges's 9. That durability gap means Dalton Kincaid contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Dalton Kincaid scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Dalton Kincaid saw 49 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid vs Jake Tonges: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Dalton Kincaid	Jake Tonges
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.9	8.5
Games Played	12	9
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	107	77
Receptions	39	34
Rec/Game	3.3	3.8
Receiving Yards	571	293
Rec Yds/Game	47.6	32.6
Receiving TDs	5	5
Targets	49	46
Target Share/Game	4.1	5.1
Age	26	26
Experience	2 yrs	3 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 8

Summary

Dalton Kincaid outscored Jake Tonges by 0.4 PPG in 2025 (8.9 to 8.5). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Jake Tonges in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Dalton Kincaid has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Jake Tonges's 8.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid and Jake Tonges average in 2025?▾

Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Jake Tonges averaged 8.5 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 0.4 points per game.

When are Dalton Kincaid and Jake Tonges's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Jake Tonges (SF) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dalton Kincaid or Jake Tonges a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid outscored Jake Tonges by 0.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.