Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Dalton Kincaid vs Jonnu SmithWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Jonnu Smith's 8.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Dalton Kincaid edges Jonnu Smith by 0.7 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Dalton Kincaid goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEBuffalo Bills#11PPG LEADER

Dalton Kincaid

PPG

8.9

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

571

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TEMiami Dolphins#99

Jonnu Smith

PPG

8.2

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

562

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Dalton Kincaid

Jonnu Smith

Head to Head

8.9 PPG8.2 PPG

12 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Jonnu Smith: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dalton Kincaid is producing at 40% of elite pace and Jonnu Smith at 37%. That ranking gap means Dalton Kincaid carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dalton Kincaid vs Jonnu Smith: The Full Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid (8.9 PPG) and Jonnu Smith (8.2 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two tight ends are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for the Buffalo Bills; Jonnu Smith suited up 15 times for the Miami Dolphins.

A 0.7-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Dalton Kincaid had 39 catches for 571 yards; Jonnu Smith posted 52 for 562. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Dalton Kincaid sits Week 7 while Jonnu Smith is off Week 6. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Jonnu Smith (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Dalton Kincaid outscored Jonnu Smith by a projected 12 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Jonnu Smith played 15 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Jonnu Smith contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Dalton Kincaid scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Jonnu Smith saw 68 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid vs Jonnu Smith: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Dalton Kincaid	Jonnu Smith
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.9	8.2
Games Played	12	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	107	123
Receptions	39	52
Rec/Game	3.3	3.5
Receiving Yards	571	562
Rec Yds/Game	47.6	37.5
Receiving TDs	5	4
Targets	49	68
Target Share/Game	4.1	4.5
Age	26	-
Experience	2 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Dalton Kincaid holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.9 points per game. Jonnu Smith averaged 8.2 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Jonnu Smith in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Dalton Kincaid has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Jonnu Smith's 8.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid and Jonnu Smith average in 2025?▾

Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Jonnu Smith averaged 8.2 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 0.7 points per game.

When are Dalton Kincaid and Jonnu Smith's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Jonnu Smith (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dalton Kincaid or Jonnu Smith a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid outscored Jonnu Smith by 0.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.