Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Dalton Kincaid vs Juwan JohnsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Juwan Johnson's 8.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Dalton Kincaid and Juwan Johnson are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.6-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEBuffalo Bills#11PPG LEADER

Dalton Kincaid

PPG

8.9

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

571

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TENew Orleans Saints#17

Juwan Johnson

PPG

8.3

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

889

Rec TDs

Targets

102

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Dalton Kincaid

Juwan Johnson

Head to Head

8.9 PPG8.3 PPG

12 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Juwan Johnson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #17 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dalton Kincaid is producing at 40% of elite pace and Juwan Johnson at 38%. That ranking gap means Dalton Kincaid carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dalton Kincaid vs Juwan Johnson: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Dalton Kincaid finished the 2025 season at 8.9 PPG over 12 games with the Buffalo Bills, while Juwan Johnson clocked in at 8.3 across 17 appearances for the New Orleans Saints. A 0.6-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Juwan Johnson is the volume tight end in this matchup with 77 receptions for 889 yards, while Dalton Kincaid profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (5 scores on 39 catches). In weeks where Dalton Kincaid finds the end zone he out-scores Juwan Johnson, but the floor gap is real.

One scheduling note: Dalton Kincaid is off Week 7 and Juwan Johnson Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Juwan Johnson (age 29) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Dalton Kincaid outscored Juwan Johnson by a projected 10 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Juwan Johnson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Juwan Johnson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Dalton Kincaid scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Juwan Johnson saw 102 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid vs Juwan Johnson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Dalton Kincaid	Juwan Johnson
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.9	8.3
Games Played	12	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	107	141
Receptions	39	77
Rec/Game	3.3	4.5
Receiving Yards	571	889
Rec Yds/Game	47.6	52.3
Receiving TDs	5	3
Targets	49	102
Target Share/Game	4.1	6.0
Age	26	29
Experience	2 yrs	5 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 8

Summary

8.9 PPG for Dalton Kincaid versus 8.3 for Juwan Johnson in 2025. The baseline favors Dalton Kincaid, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Juwan Johnson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Dalton Kincaid has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Juwan Johnson's 8.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid and Juwan Johnson average in 2025?▾

Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Juwan Johnson averaged 8.3 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.6 points per game.

When are Dalton Kincaid and Juwan Johnson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Juwan Johnson (NO) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dalton Kincaid or Juwan Johnson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid outscored Juwan Johnson by 0.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.