Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Dalton Kincaid vs Luke MusgraveWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy play this season.

Dalton Kincaid has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.1-PPG advantage is real (8.9 to 4.8), and Dalton Kincaid's 5 touchdowns show scoring upside. Luke Musgrave is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEBuffalo Bills#11PPG LEADER

Dalton Kincaid

PPG

8.9

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

571

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TEGreen Bay Packers#99

Luke Musgrave

PPG

4.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

335

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Dalton Kincaid

Luke Musgrave

Head to Head

8.9 PPG4.8 PPG

12 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Luke Musgrave: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dalton Kincaid is producing at 40% of elite pace and Luke Musgrave at 22%. That ranking gap means Dalton Kincaid carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dalton Kincaid vs Luke Musgrave: The Full Breakdown

Two tight ends who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Dalton Kincaid (Buffalo Bills) finished the 2025 season averaging 8.9 fantasy points per game in 12 games. Luke Musgrave (Green Bay Packers) came in at 4.8 PPG over 14 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Dalton Kincaid carries a 4.1-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Dalton Kincaid had 39 catches for 571 yards; Luke Musgrave posted 30 for 335. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

One scheduling note: Dalton Kincaid is off Week 7 and Luke Musgrave Week 10. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Dalton Kincaid at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Luke Musgrave is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Luke Musgrave (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Dalton Kincaid outscored Luke Musgrave by a projected 70 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Luke Musgrave played 14 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Luke Musgrave contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Dalton Kincaid scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Dalton Kincaid saw 49 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid vs Luke Musgrave: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Dalton Kincaid	Luke Musgrave
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.9	4.8
Games Played	12	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	107	67
Receptions	39	30
Rec/Game	3.3	2.1
Receiving Yards	571	335
Rec Yds/Game	47.6	23.9
Receiving TDs	5	2
Targets	49	42
Target Share/Game	4.1	3.0
Age	26	-
Experience	2 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 10

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Dalton Kincaid holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.9 points per game. Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Luke Musgrave in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Dalton Kincaid has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid and Luke Musgrave average in 2025?▾

Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 4.1 points per game.

When are Dalton Kincaid and Luke Musgrave's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Luke Musgrave (GB) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dalton Kincaid or Luke Musgrave a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid outscored Luke Musgrave by 4.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.