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Dalton Kincaid vs Noah GrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Noah Gray's 4.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy play this season.

Dalton Kincaid has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.3-PPG advantage is real (8.9 to 4.6), and Dalton Kincaid's 5 touchdowns show scoring upside. Noah Gray is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEBuffalo Bills#11PPG LEADER
Dalton Kincaid
PPG
8.9
Games
12
Rec
39
Rec Yds
571
Rec TDs
5
Targets
49
Bye
Week 7
TEKansas City Chiefs#99
Noah Gray
PPG
4.6
Games
17
Rec
38
Rec Yds
385
Rec TDs
2
Targets
50
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dalton Kincaid
Noah Gray

Head to Head

8.9 PPG4.6 PPG
12 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dalton Kincaid is producing at 40% of elite pace and Noah Gray at 21%. That ranking gap means Dalton Kincaid carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dalton Kincaid vs Noah Gray: The Full Breakdown

Two tight ends who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Dalton Kincaid (Buffalo Bills) finished the 2025 season averaging 8.9 fantasy points per game in 12 games. Noah Gray (Kansas City Chiefs) came in at 4.6 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Dalton Kincaid carries a 4.3-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Dalton Kincaid had 39 catches for 571 yards; Noah Gray posted 38 for 385. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Dalton Kincaid has his bye in Week 7, and Noah Gray rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Dalton Kincaid at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Noah Gray is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Dalton Kincaid outscored Noah Gray by a projected 73 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Noah Gray played 17 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Noah Gray contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Dalton Kincaid scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Noah Gray saw 50 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid vs Noah Gray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDalton KincaidNoah Gray
PPG (Half-PPR)8.94.6
Games Played1217
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)10778
Receptions3938
Rec/Game3.32.2
Receiving Yards571385
Rec Yds/Game47.622.6
Receiving TDs52
Targets4950
Target Share/Game4.12.9
Age26-
Experience2 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Dalton Kincaid holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.9 points per game. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Noah Gray in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Dalton Kincaid has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Noah Gray's 4.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid and Noah Gray average in 2025?

Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 4.3 points per game.

When are Dalton Kincaid and Noah Gray's bye weeks in 2026?

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Noah Gray (KC) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dalton Kincaid or Noah Gray a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Dalton Kincaid outscored Noah Gray by 4.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.