Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Dalton Kincaid vs Theo JohnsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Theo Johnson's 7.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy play this season.

Dalton Kincaid has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 1.9-PPG advantage is real (8.9 to 7.0), and Dalton Kincaid's 5 touchdowns show scoring upside. Theo Johnson is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEBuffalo Bills#11PPG LEADER

Dalton Kincaid

PPG

8.9

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

571

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TENew York Giants#24

Theo Johnson

PPG

7.0

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

528

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Dalton Kincaid

Theo Johnson

Head to Head

8.9 PPG7.0 PPG

12 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Theo Johnson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dalton Kincaid is producing at 40% of elite pace and Theo Johnson at 32%. That ranking gap means Dalton Kincaid carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dalton Kincaid vs Theo Johnson: The Full Breakdown

Two tight ends who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Dalton Kincaid (Buffalo Bills) finished the 2025 season averaging 8.9 fantasy points per game in 12 games. Theo Johnson (New York Giants) came in at 7.0 PPG over 15 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Dalton Kincaid carries a 1.9-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Dalton Kincaid had 39 catches for 571 yards; Theo Johnson posted 45 for 528. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

One scheduling note: Dalton Kincaid is off Week 7 and Theo Johnson Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Theo Johnson (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Dalton Kincaid outscored Theo Johnson by a projected 32 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Theo Johnson played 15 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Theo Johnson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Dalton Kincaid scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Theo Johnson saw 74 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid vs Theo Johnson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Dalton Kincaid	Theo Johnson
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.9	7.0
Games Played	12	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	107	105
Receptions	39	45
Rec/Game	3.3	3.0
Receiving Yards	571	528
Rec Yds/Game	47.6	35.2
Receiving TDs	5	5
Targets	49	74
Target Share/Game	4.1	4.9
Age	26	25
Experience	2 yrs	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Dalton Kincaid holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.9 points per game. Theo Johnson averaged 7.0 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Theo Johnson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Dalton Kincaid has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Theo Johnson's 7.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid and Theo Johnson average in 2025?▾

Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Theo Johnson averaged 7.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 1.9 points per game.

When are Dalton Kincaid and Theo Johnson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Theo Johnson (NYG) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dalton Kincaid or Theo Johnson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid outscored Theo Johnson by 1.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.