Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Dalton Kincaid vs Travis KelceWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Travis Kelce is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.1 PPG to Dalton Kincaid's 8.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Travis Kelce is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Travis Kelce edges Dalton Kincaid by 0.2 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Travis Kelce goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEBuffalo Bills#11

Dalton Kincaid

PPG

8.9

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

571

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TEKansas City Chiefs#10PPG LEADER

Travis Kelce

PPG

9.1

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

851

Rec TDs

Targets

108

Bye

Week 5

The Edge Chart

Dalton Kincaid

Travis Kelce

Head to Head

8.9 PPG9.1 PPG

12 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Travis Kelce: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #10 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dalton Kincaid is producing at 40% of elite pace and Travis Kelce at 41%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Dalton Kincaid vs Travis Kelce: The Full Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid (8.9 PPG) and Travis Kelce (9.1 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two tight ends are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for the Buffalo Bills; Travis Kelce suited up 17 times for the Kansas City Chiefs.

A 0.2-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Travis Kelce is the volume tight end in this matchup with 76 receptions for 851 yards, while Dalton Kincaid profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (5 scores on 39 catches). In weeks where Dalton Kincaid finds the end zone he out-scores Travis Kelce, but the floor gap is real.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Dalton Kincaid sits Week 7 while Travis Kelce is off Week 5. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Travis Kelce (age 36) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

•Travis Kelce outscored Dalton Kincaid by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Travis Kelce played 17 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Travis Kelce contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Dalton Kincaid scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Travis Kelce saw 108 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
•Dalton Kincaid is 10 years younger than Travis Kelce (26 vs 36), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid vs Travis Kelce: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Dalton Kincaid	Travis Kelce
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.9	9.1
Games Played	12	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	107	155
Receptions	39	76
Rec/Game	3.3	4.5
Receiving Yards	571	851
Rec Yds/Game	47.6	50.1
Receiving TDs	5	5
Targets	49	108
Target Share/Game	4.1	6.4
Age	26	36
Experience	2 yrs	12 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 5

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Travis Kelce holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 9.1 points per game. Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Travis Kelce in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Travis Kelce has the edge at 9.1 PPG compared to Dalton Kincaid's 8.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid and Travis Kelce average in 2025?▾

Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Travis Kelce averaged 9.1 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

When are Dalton Kincaid and Travis Kelce's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Travis Kelce (KC) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dalton Kincaid or Travis Kelce a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Travis Kelce outscored Dalton Kincaid by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.