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Head to Head

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Dalton Kincaid vs Tyler WarrenWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Tyler Warren's 8.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Dalton Kincaid edges Tyler Warren by 0.0 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Dalton Kincaid goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEBuffalo Bills#11PPG LEADER
Dalton Kincaid
PPG
8.9
Games
12
Rec
39
Rec Yds
571
Rec TDs
5
Targets
49
Bye
Week 7
TEIndianapolis Colts#12
Tyler Warren
PPG
8.9
Games
17
Rec
76
Rec Yds
817
Rec TDs
4
Targets
112
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dalton Kincaid
Tyler Warren

Head to Head

8.9 PPG8.9 PPG
12 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Tyler Warren: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #12 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dalton Kincaid is producing at 40% of elite pace and Tyler Warren at 40%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Dalton Kincaid vs Tyler Warren: The Full Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid (8.9 PPG) and Tyler Warren (8.9 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two tight ends are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for the Buffalo Bills; Tyler Warren suited up 17 times for the Indianapolis Colts.

A 0.0-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Tyler Warren is the volume tight end in this matchup with 76 receptions for 817 yards, while Dalton Kincaid profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (5 scores on 39 catches). In weeks where Dalton Kincaid finds the end zone he out-scores Tyler Warren, but the floor gap is real.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Dalton Kincaid sits Week 7 while Tyler Warren is off Week 13. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyler Warren (age 24) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Dalton Kincaid outscored Tyler Warren by a projected 0 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Tyler Warren played 17 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Tyler Warren contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Dalton Kincaid scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Tyler Warren saw 112 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid vs Tyler Warren: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDalton KincaidTyler Warren
PPG (Half-PPR)8.98.9
Games Played1217
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)107151
Receptions3976
Rec/Game3.34.5
Receiving Yards571817
Rec Yds/Game47.648.1
Receiving TDs54
Targets49112
Target Share/Game4.16.6
Age2624
Experience2 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 13

Summary

Dalton Kincaid outscored Tyler Warren by 0.0 PPG in 2025 (8.9 to 8.9). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Tyler Warren in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Dalton Kincaid has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Tyler Warren's 8.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid and Tyler Warren average in 2025?

Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Tyler Warren averaged 8.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.0 points per game.

When are Dalton Kincaid and Tyler Warren's bye weeks in 2026?

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Tyler Warren (IND) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dalton Kincaid or Tyler Warren a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Dalton Kincaid outscored Tyler Warren by 0.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.