Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Dalton Kincaid vs Zach ErtzWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Zach Ertz's 7.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Dalton Kincaid edges Zach Ertz by 1.1 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Dalton Kincaid goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEBuffalo Bills#11PPG LEADER

Dalton Kincaid

PPG

8.9

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

571

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TEWashington Commanders#20

Zach Ertz

PPG

7.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

504

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Dalton Kincaid

Zach Ertz

Head to Head

8.9 PPG7.8 PPG

12 GP13 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Zach Ertz: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #20 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dalton Kincaid is producing at 40% of elite pace and Zach Ertz at 35%. That ranking gap means Dalton Kincaid carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dalton Kincaid vs Zach Ertz: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Dalton Kincaid finished the 2025 season at 8.9 PPG over 12 games with the Buffalo Bills, while Zach Ertz clocked in at 7.8 across 13 appearances for the Washington Commanders. A 1.1-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Dalton Kincaid had 39 catches for 571 yards; Zach Ertz posted 50 for 504. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 7 bye. That means you need a backup plan at tight end for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Zach Ertz (age 35) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

•Dalton Kincaid outscored Zach Ertz by a projected 19 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Zach Ertz played 13 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Zach Ertz contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Dalton Kincaid scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Zach Ertz saw 72 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
•Dalton Kincaid is 9 years younger than Zach Ertz (26 vs 35), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid vs Zach Ertz: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Dalton Kincaid	Zach Ertz
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.9	7.8
Games Played	12	13
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	107	101
Receptions	39	50
Rec/Game	3.3	3.8
Receiving Yards	571	504
Rec Yds/Game	47.6	38.8
Receiving TDs	5	4
Targets	49	72
Target Share/Game	4.1	5.5
Age	26	35
Experience	2 yrs	12 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Dalton Kincaid holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.9 points per game. Zach Ertz averaged 7.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Zach Ertz in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Dalton Kincaid has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Zach Ertz's 7.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid and Zach Ertz average in 2025?▾

Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Zach Ertz averaged 7.8 PPG over 13 games. That is a difference of 1.1 points per game.

Do Dalton Kincaid and Zach Ertz share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Dalton Kincaid and Zach Ertz share a Week 7 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at tight end for that week.

Is Dalton Kincaid or Zach Ertz a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid outscored Zach Ertz by 1.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.