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Head to Head

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Davis Mills vs Jake BrowningWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Davis Mills is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.4 PPG to Jake Browning's 11.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Davis Mills is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Davis Mills and Jake Browning are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.1-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBHouston Texans#36PPG LEADER
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 8
QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#99
Jake Browning
PPG
11.3
Games
5
Pass Yds
771
Pass TDs
6
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Davis Mills
Jake Browning

Head to Head

11.4 PPG11.3 PPG
6 GP5 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Jake Browning: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Jake Browning at 51%. That ranking gap means Davis Mills carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Jake Browning: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Davis Mills and Jake Browning is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 0.1 PPG in 2025, this is one of those quarterback decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG with the Houston Texans across 6 games, and Jake Browning posted 11.3 with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 5.

When two quarterbacks are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jake Browning posted 771 yards and 6 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Davis Mills has his bye in Week 8, and Jake Browning rests in Week 11. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Jake Browning (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Davis Mills outscored Jake Browning by a projected 2 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Davis Mills played 6 games in 2025 compared to Jake Browning's 5. That durability gap means Davis Mills contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jake Browning scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Jake Browning: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDavis MillsJake Browning
PPG (Half-PPR)11.411.3
Games Played65
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)6857
Passing Yards915771
Passing TDs56
Pass Yds/Game152.5154.2
Rushing Yards6039
Rushing TDs11
Total TDs67
TDs/Game1.01.4
Age2730
Experience4 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 11

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Davis Mills at 11.4 PPG, 0.1 points per game above Jake Browning's 11.3. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Jake Browning in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Davis Mills has the edge at 11.4 PPG compared to Jake Browning's 11.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Jake Browning average in 2025?

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Jake Browning averaged 11.3 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 0.1 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Jake Browning's bye weeks in 2026?

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Jake Browning (TB) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Jake Browning a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Davis Mills outscored Jake Browning by 0.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.