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Head to Head

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Davis Mills vs Jaxson DartWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jaxson Dart is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.3 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jaxson Dart is the better fantasy play this season.

Jaxson Dart is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 17.3 PPG and 2,759 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Davis Mills (11.4 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Jaxson Dart as the starter and Davis Mills as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBHouston Texans#36
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 8
QBNew York Giants#14PPG LEADER
Jaxson Dart
PPG
17.3
Games
14
Pass Yds
2,272
Pass TDs
15
Rush Yds
487
Rush TDs
9
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Davis Mills
Jaxson Dart

Head to Head

11.4 PPG17.3 PPG
6 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Jaxson Dart: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #14 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Jaxson Dart at 79%. That ranking gap means Jaxson Dart carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Jaxson Dart: The Full Breakdown

Davis Mills and Jaxson Dart are both viable fantasy quarterbacks heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG across 6 games with the Houston Texans, while Jaxson Dart posted 17.3 PPG in 14 appearances for the New York Giants.

A 5.9-PPG gap gives Jaxson Dart the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Jaxson Dart offers meaningful rushing upside with 487 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Davis Mills (915 passing yards, 5 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 8 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Jaxson Dart at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Davis Mills is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Jaxson Dart (age 23) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising.

Did You Know?

  • Jaxson Dart outscored Davis Mills by a projected 100 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jaxson Dart played 14 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Jaxson Dart contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jaxson Dart scored 24 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Jaxson Dart added 487 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Jaxson Dart is 4 years younger than Davis Mills (23 vs 27), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Jaxson Dart: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDavis MillsJaxson Dart
PPG (Half-PPR)11.417.3
Games Played614
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)68242
Passing Yards9152,272
Passing TDs515
Pass Yds/Game152.5162.3
Rushing Yards60487
Rushing TDs19
Total TDs624
TDs/Game1.01.7
Age2723
Experience4 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 8

Summary

Jaxson Dart outscored Davis Mills by 5.9 PPG in 2025 (17.3 to 11.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Jaxson Dart in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jaxson Dart has the edge at 17.3 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Jaxson Dart average in 2025?

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Jaxson Dart averaged 17.3 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 5.9 points per game.

Do Davis Mills and Jaxson Dart share a bye week?

Yes, both Davis Mills and Jaxson Dart share a Week 8 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Davis Mills or Jaxson Dart a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Jaxson Dart outscored Davis Mills by 5.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.