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Head to Head

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Davis Mills vs Joe FlaccoWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Davis Mills is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.4 PPG to Joe Flacco's 11.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Davis Mills is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Davis Mills edges Joe Flacco by 0.1 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Davis Mills goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBHouston Texans#36PPG LEADER
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 8
QBCincinnati Bengals#37
Joe Flacco
PPG
11.3
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,479
Pass TDs
15
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Davis Mills
Joe Flacco

Head to Head

11.4 PPG11.3 PPG
6 GP13 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Joe Flacco: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #37 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Joe Flacco at 51%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Davis Mills vs Joe Flacco: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Davis Mills finished the 2025 season at 11.4 PPG over 6 games with the Houston Texans, while Joe Flacco clocked in at 11.3 across 13 appearances for the Cincinnati Bengals. A 0.1-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Joe Flacco posted 2479 yards and 15 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Davis Mills is off Week 8 and Joe Flacco Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Joe Flacco (age 41) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

  • Davis Mills outscored Joe Flacco by a projected 2 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Joe Flacco played 13 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Joe Flacco contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Joe Flacco scored 16 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Davis Mills is 14 years younger than Joe Flacco (27 vs 41), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Joe Flacco: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDavis MillsJoe Flacco
PPG (Half-PPR)11.411.3
Games Played613
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)68147
Passing Yards9152,479
Passing TDs515
Pass Yds/Game152.5190.7
Rushing Yards6035
Rushing TDs11
Total TDs616
TDs/Game1.01.2
Age2741
Experience4 yrs17 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Davis Mills holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 11.4 points per game. Joe Flacco averaged 11.3 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Joe Flacco in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Davis Mills has the edge at 11.4 PPG compared to Joe Flacco's 11.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Joe Flacco average in 2025?

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Joe Flacco averaged 11.3 PPG over 13 games. That is a difference of 0.1 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Joe Flacco's bye weeks in 2026?

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Joe Flacco (CIN) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Joe Flacco a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Davis Mills outscored Joe Flacco by 0.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.