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Davis Mills vs Russell WilsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Russell Wilson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.2 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Russell Wilson is the better fantasy play this season.

Russell Wilson has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.8-PPG advantage is real (14.2 to 11.4), and Russell Wilson's 20 touchdowns show scoring upside. Davis Mills is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBHouston Texans#36
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 8
QBPittsburgh Steelers#99PPG LEADER
Russell Wilson
PPG
14.2
Games
14
Pass Yds
2,890
Pass TDs
18
Rush Yds
155
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 9

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Davis Mills
Russell Wilson

Head to Head

11.4 PPG14.2 PPG
6 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 9

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Russell Wilson: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Russell Wilson at 65%. That ranking gap means Davis Mills carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Russell Wilson: The Full Breakdown

Davis Mills and Russell Wilson are both viable fantasy quarterbacks heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG across 6 games with the Houston Texans, while Russell Wilson posted 14.2 PPG in 14 appearances for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

A 2.8-PPG gap gives Russell Wilson the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Russell Wilson posted 2890 yards and 18 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Davis Mills sits Week 8 while Russell Wilson is off Week 9. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Russell Wilson (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Russell Wilson outscored Davis Mills by a projected 48 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Russell Wilson played 14 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Russell Wilson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Russell Wilson scored 20 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Russell Wilson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDavis MillsRussell Wilson
PPG (Half-PPR)11.414.2
Games Played614
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)68199
Passing Yards9152,890
Passing TDs518
Pass Yds/Game152.5206.4
Rushing Yards60155
Rushing TDs12
Total TDs620
TDs/Game1.01.4
Age27-
Experience4 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 9

Summary

Russell Wilson outscored Davis Mills by 2.8 PPG in 2025 (14.2 to 11.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Russell Wilson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Russell Wilson has the edge at 14.2 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Russell Wilson average in 2025?

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Russell Wilson averaged 14.2 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 2.8 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Russell Wilson's bye weeks in 2026?

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Russell Wilson (PIT) has a bye in Week 9. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Russell Wilson a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Russell Wilson outscored Davis Mills by 2.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.