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Head to Head

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Davis Mills vs Spencer RattlerWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Davis Mills is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.4 PPG to Spencer Rattler's 11.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Davis Mills is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Davis Mills edges Spencer Rattler by 0.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Davis Mills goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBHouston Texans#36PPG LEADER
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 8
QBNew Orleans Saints#38
Spencer Rattler
PPG
11.0
Games
9
Pass Yds
1,586
Pass TDs
8
Rush Yds
167
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Davis Mills
Spencer Rattler

Head to Head

11.4 PPG11.0 PPG
6 GP9 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Spencer Rattler: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #38 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Spencer Rattler at 50%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Davis Mills vs Spencer Rattler: The Full Breakdown

Davis Mills (11.4 PPG) and Spencer Rattler (11.0 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two quarterbacks are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Davis Mills played 6 games for the Houston Texans; Spencer Rattler suited up 9 times for the New Orleans Saints.

A 0.4-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Spencer Rattler posted 1586 yards and 8 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 8 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Spencer Rattler (age 25) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising.

Did You Know?

  • Davis Mills outscored Spencer Rattler by a projected 7 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Spencer Rattler played 9 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Spencer Rattler contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Spencer Rattler scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Both players share a Week 8 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Spencer Rattler: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDavis MillsSpencer Rattler
PPG (Half-PPR)11.411.0
Games Played69
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)6899
Passing Yards9151,586
Passing TDs58
Pass Yds/Game152.5176.2
Rushing Yards60167
Rushing TDs10
Total TDs68
TDs/Game1.00.9
Age2725
Experience4 yrs1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Davis Mills holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 11.4 points per game. Spencer Rattler averaged 11.0 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Spencer Rattler in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Davis Mills has the edge at 11.4 PPG compared to Spencer Rattler's 11.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Spencer Rattler average in 2025?

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Spencer Rattler averaged 11.0 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 0.4 points per game.

Do Davis Mills and Spencer Rattler share a bye week?

Yes, both Davis Mills and Spencer Rattler share a Week 8 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Davis Mills or Spencer Rattler a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Davis Mills outscored Spencer Rattler by 0.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.