Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Davis Mills vs Tua TagovailoaWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tua Tagovailoa is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.5 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tua Tagovailoa is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Tua Tagovailoa and Davis Mills are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.1-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

QBMiami Dolphins#35PPG LEADER

Tua Tagovailoa

PPG

11.5

Games

Pass Yds

2,660

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Davis Mills

Tua Tagovailoa

Head to Head

11.4 PPG11.5 PPG

6 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Tua Tagovailoa: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #35 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Tua Tagovailoa at 52%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Davis Mills vs Tua Tagovailoa: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Davis Mills finished the 2025 season at 11.4 PPG over 6 games with the Houston Texans, while Tua Tagovailoa clocked in at 11.5 across 14 appearances for the Miami Dolphins. A 0.1-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Tua Tagovailoa posted 2660 yards and 20 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Davis Mills is off Week 8 and Tua Tagovailoa Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Tua Tagovailoa (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Tua Tagovailoa outscored Davis Mills by a projected 2 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Tua Tagovailoa played 14 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Tua Tagovailoa contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Tua Tagovailoa scored 20 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Tua Tagovailoa: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Davis Mills	Tua Tagovailoa
PPG (Half-PPR)	11.4	11.5
Games Played	6	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	68	161
Passing Yards	915	2,660
Passing TDs	5	20
Pass Yds/Game	152.5	190.0
Rushing Yards	60	43
Rushing TDs	1	0
Total TDs	6	20
TDs/Game	1.0	1.4
Age	27	28
Experience	4 yrs	5 yrs
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 6

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Tua Tagovailoa at 11.5 PPG, 0.1 points per game above Davis Mills's 11.4. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Tua Tagovailoa in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Tua Tagovailoa has the edge at 11.5 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Tua Tagovailoa average in 2025?▾

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Tua Tagovailoa averaged 11.5 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 0.1 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Tua Tagovailoa's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Tua Tagovailoa a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Tua Tagovailoa outscored Davis Mills by 0.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.