Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Dawson Knox vs Luke MusgraveWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dawson Knox is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 5.4 PPG to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dawson Knox is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Dawson Knox and Luke Musgrave are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.6-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEBuffalo Bills#33PPG LEADER

Dawson Knox

PPG

5.4

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

417

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TEGreen Bay Packers#99

Luke Musgrave

PPG

4.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

335

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Dawson Knox

Luke Musgrave

Head to Head

5.4 PPG4.8 PPG

16 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Dawson Knox: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #33 at the position). Luke Musgrave: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dawson Knox is producing at 25% of elite pace and Luke Musgrave at 22%. That ranking gap means Dawson Knox carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dawson Knox vs Luke Musgrave: The Full Breakdown

Dawson Knox (5.4 PPG) and Luke Musgrave (4.8 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two tight ends are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Dawson Knox played 16 games for the Buffalo Bills; Luke Musgrave suited up 14 times for the Green Bay Packers.

A 0.6-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Dawson Knox had 36 catches for 417 yards; Luke Musgrave posted 30 for 335. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Dawson Knox sits Week 7 while Luke Musgrave is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dawson Knox (age 29) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Luke Musgrave (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Dawson Knox outscored Luke Musgrave by a projected 10 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Dawson Knox played 16 games in 2025 compared to Luke Musgrave's 14. That durability gap means Dawson Knox contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Dawson Knox scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Dawson Knox saw 49 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dawson Knox vs Luke Musgrave: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Dawson Knox	Luke Musgrave
PPG (Half-PPR)	5.4	4.8
Games Played	16	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	86	67
Receptions	36	30
Rec/Game	2.3	2.1
Receiving Yards	417	335
Rec Yds/Game	26.1	23.9
Receiving TDs	4	2
Targets	49	42
Target Share/Game	3.1	3.0
Age	29	-
Experience	6 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 10

Summary

5.4 PPG for Dawson Knox versus 4.8 for Luke Musgrave in 2025. The baseline favors Dawson Knox, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dawson Knox or Luke Musgrave in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Dawson Knox has the edge at 5.4 PPG compared to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dawson Knox and Luke Musgrave average in 2025?▾

Dawson Knox averaged 5.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 0.6 points per game.

When are Dawson Knox and Luke Musgrave's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Dawson Knox (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Luke Musgrave (GB) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dawson Knox or Luke Musgrave a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Dawson Knox outscored Luke Musgrave by 0.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.