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Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Keon ColemanWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.5 PPG to Keon Coleman's 7.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better fantasy play this season.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better play on a neutral week. 9.5 PPG with 802 yards gives a reliable baseline. Keon Coleman at 7.0 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Deebo Samuel Sr. higher, but do not fade Keon Coleman entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRWashington Commanders#36PPG LEADER
Deebo Samuel Sr.
PPG
9.5
Games
16
Rec
72
Rec Yds
727
Rec TDs
5
Targets
99
Bye
Week 7
WRBuffalo Bills#59
Keon Coleman
PPG
7.0
Games
12
Rec
38
Rec Yds
404
Rec TDs
4
Targets
59
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Keon Coleman

Head to Head

9.5 PPG7.0 PPG
16 GP12 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Deebo Samuel Sr.: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #36 at the position). Keon Coleman: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Deebo Samuel Sr. is producing at 43% of elite pace and Keon Coleman at 32%. That ranking gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Keon Coleman: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Deebo Samuel Sr. and Keon Coleman is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Washington Commanders wide receiver put up 9.5 PPG in 2025 over 16 games; Keon Coleman of the Buffalo Bills averaged 7.0 in 12. A 2.5-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 2.5 points favors Deebo Samuel Sr., though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one wide receiver to the other.

Target volume is the story here. Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025, while Keon Coleman drew 59. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Deebo Samuel Sr., even in weeks where Keon Coleman posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Both share a Week 7 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking wide receivers this deep on your bench, plan your replacement wide receiver early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Deebo Samuel Sr. (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Keon Coleman (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Keon Coleman by a projected 43 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games in 2025 compared to Keon Coleman's 12. That durability gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Keon Coleman is 7 years younger than Deebo Samuel Sr. (23 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Keon Coleman: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDeebo Samuel Sr.Keon Coleman
PPG (Half-PPR)9.57.0
Games Played1612
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)15284
Receptions7238
Rec/Game4.53.2
Receiving Yards727404
Rec Yds/Game45.433.7
Receiving TDs54
Targets9959
Target Share/Game6.24.9
Age3023
Experience6 yrs1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 7

Summary

9.5 PPG for Deebo Samuel Sr. versus 7.0 for Keon Coleman in 2025. The baseline favors Deebo Samuel Sr., though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Keon Coleman in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the edge at 9.5 PPG compared to Keon Coleman's 7.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Deebo Samuel Sr. and Keon Coleman average in 2025?

Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Keon Coleman averaged 7.0 PPG over 12 games. That is a difference of 2.5 points per game.

Do Deebo Samuel Sr. and Keon Coleman share a bye week?

Yes, both Deebo Samuel Sr. and Keon Coleman share a Week 7 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at wide receiver for that week.

Is Deebo Samuel Sr. or Keon Coleman a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Keon Coleman by 2.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.