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Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Mack HollinsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.5 PPG to Mack Hollins's 6.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better fantasy play this season.

Deebo Samuel Sr. has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.5-PPG advantage is real (9.5 to 6.0), and Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 6 touchdowns show scoring upside. Mack Hollins is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRWashington Commanders#36PPG LEADER
Deebo Samuel Sr.
PPG
9.5
Games
16
Rec
72
Rec Yds
727
Rec TDs
5
Targets
99
Bye
Week 7
WRNew England Patriots#99
Mack Hollins
PPG
6.0
Games
15
Rec
46
Rec Yds
550
Rec TDs
2
Targets
65
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Mack Hollins

Head to Head

9.5 PPG6.0 PPG
16 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Deebo Samuel Sr.: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #36 at the position). Mack Hollins: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Deebo Samuel Sr. is producing at 43% of elite pace and Mack Hollins at 27%. That ranking gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Mack Hollins: The Full Breakdown

Two wide receivers who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Deebo Samuel Sr. (Washington Commanders) finished the 2025 season averaging 9.5 fantasy points per game in 16 games. Mack Hollins (New England Patriots) came in at 6.0 PPG over 15 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Deebo Samuel Sr. carries a 3.5-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Target volume is the story here. Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025, while Mack Hollins drew 65. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Deebo Samuel Sr., even in weeks where Mack Hollins posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Deebo Samuel Sr. has his bye in Week 7, and Mack Hollins rests in Week 14. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at wide receiver for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Deebo Samuel Sr. at a discount because your league-mates undervalue wide receiver production, do it. Mack Hollins is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Deebo Samuel Sr. (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Mack Hollins (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Mack Hollins by a projected 60 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games in 2025 compared to Mack Hollins's 15. That durability gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Mack Hollins: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDeebo Samuel Sr.Mack Hollins
PPG (Half-PPR)9.56.0
Games Played1615
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)15290
Receptions7246
Rec/Game4.53.1
Receiving Yards727550
Rec Yds/Game45.436.7
Receiving TDs52
Targets9965
Target Share/Game6.24.3
Age3032
Experience6 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 14

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Deebo Samuel Sr. holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 9.5 points per game. Mack Hollins averaged 6.0 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Mack Hollins in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the edge at 9.5 PPG compared to Mack Hollins's 6.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Deebo Samuel Sr. and Mack Hollins average in 2025?

Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Mack Hollins averaged 6.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 3.5 points per game.

When are Deebo Samuel Sr. and Mack Hollins's bye weeks in 2026?

Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS) has a bye in Week 7, and Mack Hollins (NE) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Deebo Samuel Sr. or Mack Hollins a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Mack Hollins by 3.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.