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Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Tyler LockettWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.5 PPG to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better fantasy play this season.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better play on a neutral week. 9.5 PPG with 802 yards gives a reliable baseline. Tyler Lockett at 6.9 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Deebo Samuel Sr. higher, but do not fade Tyler Lockett entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRWashington Commanders#36PPG LEADER
Deebo Samuel Sr.
PPG
9.5
Games
16
Rec
72
Rec Yds
727
Rec TDs
5
Targets
99
Bye
Week 7
WRSeattle Seahawks#99
Tyler Lockett
PPG
6.9
Games
15
Rec
48
Rec Yds
548
Rec TDs
2
Targets
72
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Tyler Lockett

Head to Head

9.5 PPG6.9 PPG
16 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Deebo Samuel Sr.: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #36 at the position). Tyler Lockett: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Deebo Samuel Sr. is producing at 43% of elite pace and Tyler Lockett at 31%. That ranking gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Tyler Lockett: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Deebo Samuel Sr. and Tyler Lockett is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Washington Commanders wide receiver put up 9.5 PPG in 2025 over 16 games; Tyler Lockett of the Seattle Seahawks averaged 6.9 in 15. A 2.6-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 2.6 points favors Deebo Samuel Sr., though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one wide receiver to the other.

Target volume is the story here. Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025, while Tyler Lockett drew 72. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Deebo Samuel Sr., even in weeks where Tyler Lockett posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Deebo Samuel Sr. sits Week 7 while Tyler Lockett is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Deebo Samuel Sr. (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Tyler Lockett (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Tyler Lockett by a projected 44 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games in 2025 compared to Tyler Lockett's 15. That durability gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Tyler Lockett: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDeebo Samuel Sr.Tyler Lockett
PPG (Half-PPR)9.56.9
Games Played1615
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)152104
Receptions7248
Rec/Game4.53.2
Receiving Yards727548
Rec Yds/Game45.436.5
Receiving TDs52
Targets9972
Target Share/Game6.24.8
Age30-
Experience6 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 10

Summary

9.5 PPG for Deebo Samuel Sr. versus 6.9 for Tyler Lockett in 2025. The baseline favors Deebo Samuel Sr., though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Tyler Lockett in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the edge at 9.5 PPG compared to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Deebo Samuel Sr. and Tyler Lockett average in 2025?

Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Tyler Lockett averaged 6.9 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 2.6 points per game.

When are Deebo Samuel Sr. and Tyler Lockett's bye weeks in 2026?

Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS) has a bye in Week 7, and Tyler Lockett (SEA) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Deebo Samuel Sr. or Tyler Lockett a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Tyler Lockett by 2.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.