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Head to Head

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Deshaun Watson vs Marcus MariotaWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Marcus Mariota is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.6 PPG to Deshaun Watson's 12.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Marcus Mariota is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Marcus Mariota edges Deshaun Watson by 0.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Marcus Mariota goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBCleveland Browns#99
Deshaun Watson
PPG
12.2
Games
11
Pass Yds
2,105
Pass TDs
12
Rush Yds
185
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 10
QBWashington Commanders#31PPG LEADER
Marcus Mariota
PPG
12.6
Games
10
Pass Yds
1,695
Pass TDs
10
Rush Yds
297
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Deshaun Watson
Marcus Mariota

Head to Head

12.2 PPG12.6 PPG
11 GP10 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Deshaun Watson: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Marcus Mariota: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #31 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Deshaun Watson is producing at 55% of elite pace and Marcus Mariota at 57%. That ranking gap means Marcus Mariota carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Deshaun Watson vs Marcus Mariota: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Deshaun Watson finished the 2025 season at 12.2 PPG over 11 games with the Cleveland Browns, while Marcus Mariota clocked in at 12.6 across 10 appearances for the Washington Commanders. A 0.4-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Deshaun Watson threw for 2105 yards and 12 touchdowns, while Marcus Mariota posted 1695 yards and 10 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Deshaun Watson is off Week 10 and Marcus Mariota Week 7. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Deshaun Watson (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Marcus Mariota (age 32) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

  • Marcus Mariota outscored Deshaun Watson by a projected 7 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Deshaun Watson played 11 games in 2025 compared to Marcus Mariota's 10. That durability gap means Deshaun Watson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Deshaun Watson scored 14 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Deshaun Watson vs Marcus Mariota: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDeshaun WatsonMarcus Mariota
PPG (Half-PPR)12.212.6
Games Played1110
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)134126
Passing Yards2,1051,695
Passing TDs1210
Pass Yds/Game191.4169.5
Rushing Yards185297
Rushing TDs21
Total TDs1411
TDs/Game1.31.1
Age-32
Experience-10 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 7

Summary

Marcus Mariota outscored Deshaun Watson by 0.4 PPG in 2025 (12.6 to 12.2). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Deshaun Watson or Marcus Mariota in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Marcus Mariota has the edge at 12.6 PPG compared to Deshaun Watson's 12.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Deshaun Watson and Marcus Mariota average in 2025?

Deshaun Watson averaged 12.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 11 games in 2025. Marcus Mariota averaged 12.6 PPG over 10 games. That is a difference of 0.4 points per game.

When are Deshaun Watson and Marcus Mariota's bye weeks in 2026?

Deshaun Watson (CLE) has a bye in Week 10, and Marcus Mariota (WAS) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Deshaun Watson or Marcus Mariota a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Marcus Mariota outscored Deshaun Watson by 0.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.