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Head to Head

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Deshaun Watson vs Trevor LawrenceWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 19.9 PPG to Deshaun Watson's 12.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Trevor Lawrence outscored Deshaun Watson by 7.7 PPG in 2025 with 38 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Trevor Lawrence is the clear pick. Deshaun Watson profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBCleveland Browns#99
Deshaun Watson
PPG
12.2
Games
11
Pass Yds
2,105
Pass TDs
12
Rush Yds
185
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 10
QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER
Trevor Lawrence
PPG
19.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,007
Pass TDs
29
Rush Yds
359
Rush TDs
9
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Deshaun Watson
Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

12.2 PPG19.9 PPG
11 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Deshaun Watson: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Deshaun Watson is producing at 55% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Deshaun Watson vs Trevor Lawrence: The Full Breakdown

Trevor Lawrence and Deshaun Watson are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback averaged 19.9 PPG in 2025, a full 7.7 points per game ahead of Deshaun Watson's 12.2 with the Cleveland Browns. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

The per-game difference of 7.7 points favors Trevor Lawrence, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Deshaun Watson threw for 2105 yards and 12 touchdowns, while Trevor Lawrence posted 4007 yards and 29 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Deshaun Watson has his bye in Week 10, and Trevor Lawrence rests in Week 7. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Trevor Lawrence is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Deshaun Watson is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Deshaun Watson (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Trevor Lawrence outscored Deshaun Watson by a projected 131 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Deshaun Watson's 11. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Trevor Lawrence added 359 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Deshaun Watson vs Trevor Lawrence: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDeshaun WatsonTrevor Lawrence
PPG (Half-PPR)12.219.9
Games Played1117
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)134338
Passing Yards2,1054,007
Passing TDs1229
Pass Yds/Game191.4235.7
Rushing Yards185359
Rushing TDs29
Total TDs1438
TDs/Game1.32.2
Age-26
Experience-4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 7

Summary

19.9 PPG for Trevor Lawrence versus 12.2 for Deshaun Watson in 2025. The baseline favors Trevor Lawrence, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Deshaun Watson or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Deshaun Watson's 12.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Deshaun Watson and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?

Deshaun Watson averaged 12.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 11 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 7.7 points per game.

When are Deshaun Watson and Trevor Lawrence's bye weeks in 2026?

Deshaun Watson (CLE) has a bye in Week 10, and Trevor Lawrence (JAX) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Deshaun Watson or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Trevor Lawrence outscored Deshaun Watson by 7.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.