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DeVonta Smith vs Tyreek HillWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyreek Hill is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.8 PPG to DeVonta Smith's 9.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyreek Hill is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Tyreek Hill and DeVonta Smith are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 1.2-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRPhiladelphia Eagles#34
DeVonta Smith
PPG
9.6
Games
17
Rec
77
Rec Yds
1,008
Rec TDs
4
Targets
113
Bye
Week 10
WRMiami Dolphins#20PPG LEADER
Tyreek Hill
PPG
10.8
Games
4
Rec
21
Rec Yds
265
Rec TDs
1
Targets
29
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
DeVonta Smith
Tyreek Hill

Head to Head

9.6 PPG10.8 PPG
17 GP4 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

DeVonta Smith: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #34 at the position). Tyreek Hill: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #20 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, DeVonta Smith is producing at 44% of elite pace and Tyreek Hill at 49%. That ranking gap means Tyreek Hill carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

DeVonta Smith vs Tyreek Hill: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. DeVonta Smith finished the 2025 season at 9.6 PPG over 17 games with the Philadelphia Eagles, while Tyreek Hill clocked in at 10.8 across 4 appearances for the Miami Dolphins. A 1.2-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Target volume is the story here. DeVonta Smith saw 113 targets in 2025, while Tyreek Hill drew 29. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for DeVonta Smith, even in weeks where Tyreek Hill posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

One scheduling note: DeVonta Smith is off Week 10 and Tyreek Hill Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: DeVonta Smith (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyreek Hill (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Tyreek Hill outscored DeVonta Smith by a projected 20 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • DeVonta Smith played 17 games in 2025 compared to Tyreek Hill's 4. That durability gap means DeVonta Smith contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • DeVonta Smith scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • DeVonta Smith saw 113 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • DeVonta Smith is 5 years younger than Tyreek Hill (27 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

DeVonta Smith vs Tyreek Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDeVonta SmithTyreek Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)9.610.8
Games Played174
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)16343
Receptions7721
Rec/Game4.55.3
Receiving Yards1,008265
Rec Yds/Game59.366.3
Receiving TDs41
Targets11329
Target Share/Game6.67.3
Age2732
Experience4 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 6

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Tyreek Hill at 10.8 PPG, 1.2 points per game above DeVonta Smith's 9.6. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start DeVonta Smith or Tyreek Hill in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyreek Hill has the edge at 10.8 PPG compared to DeVonta Smith's 9.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did DeVonta Smith and Tyreek Hill average in 2025?

DeVonta Smith averaged 9.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tyreek Hill averaged 10.8 PPG over 4 games. That is a difference of 1.2 points per game.

When are DeVonta Smith and Tyreek Hill's bye weeks in 2026?

DeVonta Smith (PHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Tyreek Hill (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is DeVonta Smith or Tyreek Hill a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Tyreek Hill outscored DeVonta Smith by 1.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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