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Head to Head

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Diontae Johnson vs Luther Burden IIIWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Diontae Johnson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.3 PPG to Luther Burden III's 7.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Diontae Johnson is the better fantasy play this season.

Diontae Johnson has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.3-PPG advantage is real (9.3 to 7.0), and Diontae Johnson's 3 touchdowns show scoring upside. Luther Burden III is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRBaltimore Ravens#99PPG LEADER
Diontae Johnson
PPG
9.3
Games
15
Rec
60
Rec Yds
712
Rec TDs
3
Targets
95
Bye
Week 14
WRChicago Bears#60
Luther Burden III
PPG
7.0
Games
15
Rec
47
Rec Yds
652
Rec TDs
2
Targets
60
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Diontae Johnson
Luther Burden III

Head to Head

9.3 PPG7.0 PPG
15 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Diontae Johnson: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Luther Burden III: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #60 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Diontae Johnson is producing at 42% of elite pace and Luther Burden III at 32%. That ranking gap means Luther Burden III carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Diontae Johnson vs Luther Burden III: The Full Breakdown

Two wide receivers who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Diontae Johnson (Baltimore Ravens) finished the 2025 season averaging 9.3 fantasy points per game in 15 games. Luther Burden III (Chicago Bears) came in at 7.0 PPG over 15 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Diontae Johnson carries a 2.3-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Target volume is the story here. Diontae Johnson saw 95 targets in 2025, while Luther Burden III drew 60. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Diontae Johnson, even in weeks where Luther Burden III posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Diontae Johnson sits Week 14 while Luther Burden III is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Diontae Johnson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Luther Burden III (age 22) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Diontae Johnson outscored Luther Burden III by a projected 39 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Diontae Johnson scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Diontae Johnson saw 95 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Diontae Johnson vs Luther Burden III: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDiontae JohnsonLuther Burden III
PPG (Half-PPR)9.37.0
Games Played1515
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)140105
Receptions6047
Rec/Game4.03.1
Receiving Yards712652
Rec Yds/Game47.543.5
Receiving TDs32
Targets9560
Target Share/Game6.34.0
Age-22
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 10

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Diontae Johnson holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 9.3 points per game. Luther Burden III averaged 7.0 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Diontae Johnson or Luther Burden III in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Diontae Johnson has the edge at 9.3 PPG compared to Luther Burden III's 7.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Diontae Johnson and Luther Burden III average in 2025?

Diontae Johnson averaged 9.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Luther Burden III averaged 7.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 2.3 points per game.

When are Diontae Johnson and Luther Burden III's bye weeks in 2026?

Diontae Johnson (BAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Luther Burden III (CHI) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Diontae Johnson or Luther Burden III a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Diontae Johnson outscored Luther Burden III by 2.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.