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DK Metcalf vs Tyreek HillWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyreek Hill is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.8 PPG to DK Metcalf's 10.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyreek Hill is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Tyreek Hill edges DK Metcalf by 0.3 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Tyreek Hill goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRPittsburgh Steelers#25
DK Metcalf
PPG
10.5
Games
15
Rec
59
Rec Yds
850
Rec TDs
6
Targets
99
Bye
Week 9
WRMiami Dolphins#20PPG LEADER
Tyreek Hill
PPG
10.8
Games
4
Rec
21
Rec Yds
265
Rec TDs
1
Targets
29
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
DK Metcalf
Tyreek Hill

Head to Head

10.5 PPG10.8 PPG
15 GP4 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

DK Metcalf: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #25 at the position). Tyreek Hill: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #20 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, DK Metcalf is producing at 48% of elite pace and Tyreek Hill at 49%. That ranking gap means Tyreek Hill carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

DK Metcalf vs Tyreek Hill: The Full Breakdown

The gap between DK Metcalf and Tyreek Hill is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 0.3 PPG in 2025, this is one of those wide receiver decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. DK Metcalf averaged 10.5 PPG with the Pittsburgh Steelers across 15 games, and Tyreek Hill posted 10.8 with the Miami Dolphins in 4.

When two wide receivers are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Target volume is the story here. DK Metcalf saw 99 targets in 2025, while Tyreek Hill drew 29. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for DK Metcalf, even in weeks where Tyreek Hill posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

DK Metcalf has his bye in Week 9, and Tyreek Hill rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at wide receiver for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: DK Metcalf (age 28) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyreek Hill (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Tyreek Hill outscored DK Metcalf by a projected 5 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • DK Metcalf played 15 games in 2025 compared to Tyreek Hill's 4. That durability gap means DK Metcalf contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • DK Metcalf scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • DK Metcalf saw 99 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • DK Metcalf is 4 years younger than Tyreek Hill (28 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

DK Metcalf vs Tyreek Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDK MetcalfTyreek Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)10.510.8
Games Played154
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)15843
Receptions5921
Rec/Game3.95.3
Receiving Yards850265
Rec Yds/Game56.766.3
Receiving TDs61
Targets9929
Target Share/Game6.67.3
Age2832
Experience6 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 6

Summary

Tyreek Hill outscored DK Metcalf by 0.3 PPG in 2025 (10.8 to 10.5). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start DK Metcalf or Tyreek Hill in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyreek Hill has the edge at 10.8 PPG compared to DK Metcalf's 10.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did DK Metcalf and Tyreek Hill average in 2025?

DK Metcalf averaged 10.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Tyreek Hill averaged 10.8 PPG over 4 games. That is a difference of 0.3 points per game.

When are DK Metcalf and Tyreek Hill's bye weeks in 2026?

DK Metcalf (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Tyreek Hill (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is DK Metcalf or Tyreek Hill a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Tyreek Hill outscored DK Metcalf by 0.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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