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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Ezekiel Elliott vs Justice HillWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Ezekiel Elliott is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.2 PPG to Justice Hill's 6.1 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Ezekiel Elliott is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Ezekiel Elliott edges Justice Hill by 1.1 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Ezekiel Elliott goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBDallas Cowboys#99PPG LEADER
Ezekiel Elliott
PPG
7.2
Games
14
Rush Yds
452
Rush TDs
3
Rec
18
Rec Yds
128
Bye
Week 7
RBBaltimore Ravens#53
Justice Hill
PPG
6.1
Games
9
Rush Yds
93
Rush TDs
2
Rec
21
Rec Yds
169
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Ezekiel Elliott
Justice Hill

Head to Head

7.2 PPG6.1 PPG
14 GP9 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Ezekiel Elliott: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Justice Hill: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #53 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Ezekiel Elliott is producing at 33% of elite pace and Justice Hill at 28%. That ranking gap means Justice Hill carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Ezekiel Elliott vs Justice Hill: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Ezekiel Elliott finished the 2025 season at 7.2 PPG over 14 games with the Dallas Cowboys, while Justice Hill clocked in at 6.1 across 9 appearances for the Baltimore Ravens. A 1.1-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Ezekiel Elliott ran for 452 yards and 3 touchdowns; Justice Hill posted 93 and 2. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

One scheduling note: Ezekiel Elliott is off Week 7 and Justice Hill Week 13. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in running back for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Ezekiel Elliott (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Justice Hill (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Ezekiel Elliott outscored Justice Hill by a projected 19 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Ezekiel Elliott played 14 games in 2025 compared to Justice Hill's 9. That durability gap means Ezekiel Elliott contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Ezekiel Elliott scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Ezekiel Elliott vs Justice Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatEzekiel ElliottJustice Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)7.26.1
Games Played149
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)10155
Rushing Yards45293
Rush Yds/Game32.310.3
Rushing TDs32
Receptions1821
Receiving Yards128169
Targets027
Total TDs33
Age-28
Experience-6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Ezekiel Elliott holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 7.2 points per game. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Ezekiel Elliott or Justice Hill in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Ezekiel Elliott has the edge at 7.2 PPG compared to Justice Hill's 6.1 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Ezekiel Elliott and Justice Hill average in 2025?

Ezekiel Elliott averaged 7.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 1.1 points per game.

When are Ezekiel Elliott and Justice Hill's bye weeks in 2026?

Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) has a bye in Week 7, and Justice Hill (BAL) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Ezekiel Elliott or Justice Hill a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Ezekiel Elliott outscored Justice Hill by 1.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.