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Garrett Wilson vs Tetairoa McMillanWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Garrett Wilson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.6 PPG to Tetairoa McMillan's 10.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Garrett Wilson is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Garrett Wilson and Tetairoa McMillan are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 1.1-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRNew York Jets#16PPG LEADER
Garrett Wilson
PPG
11.6
Games
7
Rec
36
Rec Yds
395
Rec TDs
4
Targets
59
Bye
Week 13
WRCarolina Panthers#26
Tetairoa McMillan
PPG
10.5
Games
17
Rec
70
Rec Yds
1,014
Rec TDs
7
Targets
122
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Garrett Wilson
Tetairoa McMillan

Head to Head

11.6 PPG10.5 PPG
7 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Garrett Wilson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #16 at the position). Tetairoa McMillan: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #26 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Garrett Wilson is producing at 53% of elite pace and Tetairoa McMillan at 48%. That ranking gap means Garrett Wilson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Garrett Wilson vs Tetairoa McMillan: The Full Breakdown

Garrett Wilson (11.6 PPG) and Tetairoa McMillan (10.5 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two wide receivers are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Garrett Wilson played 7 games for the New York Jets; Tetairoa McMillan suited up 17 times for the Carolina Panthers.

A 1.1-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Target volume is the story here. Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025, while Garrett Wilson drew 59. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Tetairoa McMillan, even in weeks where Garrett Wilson posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Garrett Wilson sits Week 13 while Tetairoa McMillan is off Week 5. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Garrett Wilson (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Tetairoa McMillan (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Garrett Wilson outscored Tetairoa McMillan by a projected 19 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games in 2025 compared to Garrett Wilson's 7. That durability gap means Tetairoa McMillan contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Tetairoa McMillan scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Garrett Wilson vs Tetairoa McMillan: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatGarrett WilsonTetairoa McMillan
PPG (Half-PPR)11.610.5
Games Played717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)81179
Receptions3670
Rec/Game5.14.1
Receiving Yards3951,014
Rec Yds/Game56.459.6
Receiving TDs47
Targets59122
Target Share/Game8.47.2
Age2523
Experience3 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 5

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Garrett Wilson at 11.6 PPG, 1.1 points per game above Tetairoa McMillan's 10.5. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Garrett Wilson or Tetairoa McMillan in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Garrett Wilson has the edge at 11.6 PPG compared to Tetairoa McMillan's 10.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Garrett Wilson and Tetairoa McMillan average in 2025?

Garrett Wilson averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 7 games in 2025. Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.1 points per game.

When are Garrett Wilson and Tetairoa McMillan's bye weeks in 2026?

Garrett Wilson (NYJ) has a bye in Week 13, and Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Garrett Wilson or Tetairoa McMillan a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Garrett Wilson outscored Tetairoa McMillan by 1.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.