Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Geno Smith vs Kyler MurrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 15.6 PPG to Geno Smith's 11.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy play this season.

Kyler Murray is the better play on a neutral week. 15.6 PPG with 1,135 yards gives a reliable baseline. Geno Smith at 11.6 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Kyler Murray higher, but do not fade Geno Smith entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#34

Geno Smith

PPG

11.6

Games

Pass Yds

3,025

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

109

Bye

Week 13

QBArizona Cardinals#22PPG LEADER

Kyler Murray

PPG

15.6

Games

Pass Yds

962

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

173

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 14

The Edge Chart

Geno Smith

Kyler Murray

Head to Head

11.6 PPG15.6 PPG

15 GP5 GP

Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Geno Smith: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #34 at the position). Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Geno Smith is producing at 53% of elite pace and Kyler Murray at 71%. That ranking gap means Kyler Murray carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Geno Smith vs Kyler Murray: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Geno Smith and Kyler Murray for your lineup, you are not alone. Geno Smith finished the 2025 season at 11.6 PPG for the Las Vegas Raiders (15 games), and Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 for the Arizona Cardinals (5 games).

That 4.0-point weekly advantage for Kyler Murray is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Geno Smith threw for 3025 yards and 19 touchdowns, while Kyler Murray posted 962 yards and 6 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Geno Smith sits Week 13 while Kyler Murray is off Week 14. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Kyler Murray is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Geno Smith is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Geno Smith (age 35) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Kyler Murray outscored Geno Smith by a projected 68 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Geno Smith played 15 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Geno Smith contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Geno Smith scored 19 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Kyler Murray is 7 years younger than Geno Smith (28 vs 35), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Geno Smith vs Kyler Murray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Geno Smith	Kyler Murray
PPG (Half-PPR)	11.6	15.6
Games Played	15	5
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	174	78
Passing Yards	3,025	962
Passing TDs	19	6
Pass Yds/Game	201.7	192.4
Rushing Yards	109	173
Rushing TDs	0	1
Total TDs	19	7
TDs/Game	1.3	1.4
Age	35	28
Experience	12 yrs	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 13	Week 14

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Kyler Murray at 15.6 PPG, 4.0 points per game above Geno Smith's 11.6. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Geno Smith or Kyler Murray in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Kyler Murray has the edge at 15.6 PPG compared to Geno Smith's 11.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Geno Smith and Kyler Murray average in 2025?▾

Geno Smith averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 4.0 points per game.

When are Geno Smith and Kyler Murray's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Geno Smith (LV) has a bye in Week 13, and Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Geno Smith or Kyler Murray a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Kyler Murray outscored Geno Smith by 4.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.