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Head to Head

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Geno Smith vs Mac JonesWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Mac Jones is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.8 PPG to Geno Smith's 11.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Mac Jones is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Mac Jones edges Geno Smith by 0.2 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Mac Jones goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#34
Geno Smith
PPG
11.6
Games
15
Pass Yds
3,025
Pass TDs
19
Rush Yds
109
Bye
Week 13
QBSan Francisco 49ers#33PPG LEADER
Mac Jones
PPG
11.8
Games
11
Pass Yds
2,151
Pass TDs
13
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Geno Smith
Mac Jones

Head to Head

11.6 PPG11.8 PPG
15 GP11 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Geno Smith: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #34 at the position). Mac Jones: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #33 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Geno Smith is producing at 53% of elite pace and Mac Jones at 54%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Geno Smith vs Mac Jones: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Geno Smith and Mac Jones is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 0.2 PPG in 2025, this is one of those quarterback decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Geno Smith averaged 11.6 PPG with the Las Vegas Raiders across 15 games, and Mac Jones posted 11.8 with the San Francisco 49ers in 11.

When two quarterbacks are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Geno Smith threw for 3025 yards and 19 touchdowns, while Mac Jones posted 2151 yards and 13 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Geno Smith has his bye in Week 13, and Mac Jones rests in Week 8. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Geno Smith (age 35) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Mac Jones (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Mac Jones outscored Geno Smith by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Geno Smith played 15 games in 2025 compared to Mac Jones's 11. That durability gap means Geno Smith contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Geno Smith scored 19 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Mac Jones is 8 years younger than Geno Smith (27 vs 35), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Geno Smith vs Mac Jones: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatGeno SmithMac Jones
PPG (Half-PPR)11.611.8
Games Played1511
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)174130
Passing Yards3,0252,151
Passing TDs1913
Pass Yds/Game201.7195.5
Rushing Yards10960
Rushing TDs00
Total TDs1913
TDs/Game1.31.2
Age3527
Experience12 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 8

Summary

Mac Jones outscored Geno Smith by 0.2 PPG in 2025 (11.8 to 11.6). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Geno Smith or Mac Jones in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Mac Jones has the edge at 11.8 PPG compared to Geno Smith's 11.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Geno Smith and Mac Jones average in 2025?

Geno Smith averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Mac Jones averaged 11.8 PPG over 11 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

When are Geno Smith and Mac Jones's bye weeks in 2026?

Geno Smith (LV) has a bye in Week 13, and Mac Jones (SF) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Geno Smith or Mac Jones a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Mac Jones outscored Geno Smith by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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