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Head to Head

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Geno Smith vs Malik WillisWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Malik Willis is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.8 PPG to Geno Smith's 11.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Malik Willis is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Malik Willis edges Geno Smith by 1.2 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Malik Willis goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#34
Geno Smith
PPG
11.6
Games
15
Pass Yds
3,025
Pass TDs
19
Rush Yds
109
Bye
Week 13
QBGreen Bay Packers#30PPG LEADER
Malik Willis
PPG
12.8
Games
4
Pass Yds
422
Pass TDs
3
Rush Yds
123
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Geno Smith
Malik Willis

Head to Head

11.6 PPG12.8 PPG
15 GP4 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Geno Smith: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #34 at the position). Malik Willis: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #30 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Geno Smith is producing at 53% of elite pace and Malik Willis at 58%. That ranking gap means Malik Willis carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Geno Smith vs Malik Willis: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Geno Smith and Malik Willis is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 1.2 PPG in 2025, this is one of those quarterback decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Geno Smith averaged 11.6 PPG with the Las Vegas Raiders across 15 games, and Malik Willis posted 12.8 with the Green Bay Packers in 4.

When two quarterbacks are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Geno Smith threw for 3025 yards and 19 touchdowns, while Malik Willis posted 422 yards and 3 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Geno Smith has his bye in Week 13, and Malik Willis rests in Week 11. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Geno Smith (age 35) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Malik Willis (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Malik Willis outscored Geno Smith by a projected 20 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Geno Smith played 15 games in 2025 compared to Malik Willis's 4. That durability gap means Geno Smith contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Geno Smith scored 19 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Malik Willis is 8 years younger than Geno Smith (27 vs 35), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Geno Smith vs Malik Willis: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatGeno SmithMalik Willis
PPG (Half-PPR)11.612.8
Games Played154
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)17451
Passing Yards3,025422
Passing TDs193
Pass Yds/Game201.7105.5
Rushing Yards109123
Rushing TDs02
Total TDs195
TDs/Game1.31.3
Age3527
Experience12 yrs3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 11

Summary

Malik Willis outscored Geno Smith by 1.2 PPG in 2025 (12.8 to 11.6). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Geno Smith or Malik Willis in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Malik Willis has the edge at 12.8 PPG compared to Geno Smith's 11.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Geno Smith and Malik Willis average in 2025?

Geno Smith averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Malik Willis averaged 12.8 PPG over 4 games. That is a difference of 1.2 points per game.

When are Geno Smith and Malik Willis's bye weeks in 2026?

Geno Smith (LV) has a bye in Week 13, and Malik Willis (GB) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Geno Smith or Malik Willis a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Malik Willis outscored Geno Smith by 1.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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