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Head to Head

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Geno Smith vs Marcus MariotaWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Marcus Mariota is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.6 PPG to Geno Smith's 11.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Marcus Mariota is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Marcus Mariota edges Geno Smith by 1.0 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Marcus Mariota goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#34
Geno Smith
PPG
11.6
Games
15
Pass Yds
3,025
Pass TDs
19
Rush Yds
109
Bye
Week 13
QBWashington Commanders#31PPG LEADER
Marcus Mariota
PPG
12.6
Games
10
Pass Yds
1,695
Pass TDs
10
Rush Yds
297
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Geno Smith
Marcus Mariota

Head to Head

11.6 PPG12.6 PPG
15 GP10 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Geno Smith: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #34 at the position). Marcus Mariota: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #31 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Geno Smith is producing at 53% of elite pace and Marcus Mariota at 57%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Geno Smith vs Marcus Mariota: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Geno Smith and Marcus Mariota is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 1.0 PPG in 2025, this is one of those quarterback decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Geno Smith averaged 11.6 PPG with the Las Vegas Raiders across 15 games, and Marcus Mariota posted 12.6 with the Washington Commanders in 10.

When two quarterbacks are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Geno Smith threw for 3025 yards and 19 touchdowns, while Marcus Mariota posted 1695 yards and 10 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Geno Smith has his bye in Week 13, and Marcus Mariota rests in Week 7. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Geno Smith (age 35) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Marcus Mariota (age 32) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

  • Marcus Mariota outscored Geno Smith by a projected 17 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Geno Smith played 15 games in 2025 compared to Marcus Mariota's 10. That durability gap means Geno Smith contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Geno Smith scored 19 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Geno Smith vs Marcus Mariota: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatGeno SmithMarcus Mariota
PPG (Half-PPR)11.612.6
Games Played1510
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)174126
Passing Yards3,0251,695
Passing TDs1910
Pass Yds/Game201.7169.5
Rushing Yards109297
Rushing TDs01
Total TDs1911
TDs/Game1.31.1
Age3532
Experience12 yrs10 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Marcus Mariota holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 12.6 points per game. Geno Smith averaged 11.6 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Geno Smith or Marcus Mariota in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Marcus Mariota has the edge at 12.6 PPG compared to Geno Smith's 11.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Geno Smith and Marcus Mariota average in 2025?

Geno Smith averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Marcus Mariota averaged 12.6 PPG over 10 games. That is a difference of 1.0 points per game.

When are Geno Smith and Marcus Mariota's bye weeks in 2026?

Geno Smith (LV) has a bye in Week 13, and Marcus Mariota (WAS) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Geno Smith or Marcus Mariota a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Marcus Mariota outscored Geno Smith by 1.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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