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Head to Head

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Geno Smith vs Tyler ShoughWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyler Shough is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.4 PPG to Geno Smith's 11.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyler Shough is the better fantasy play this season.

Tyler Shough has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.8-PPG advantage is real (14.4 to 11.6), and Tyler Shough's 13 touchdowns show scoring upside. Geno Smith is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#34
Geno Smith
PPG
11.6
Games
15
Pass Yds
3,025
Pass TDs
19
Rush Yds
109
Bye
Week 13
QBNew Orleans Saints#24PPG LEADER
Tyler Shough
PPG
14.4
Games
11
Pass Yds
2,384
Pass TDs
10
Rush Yds
186
Rush TDs
3
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Geno Smith
Tyler Shough

Head to Head

11.6 PPG14.4 PPG
15 GP11 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Geno Smith: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #34 at the position). Tyler Shough: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Geno Smith is producing at 53% of elite pace and Tyler Shough at 65%. That ranking gap means Tyler Shough carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Geno Smith vs Tyler Shough: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Geno Smith (Las Vegas Raiders) finished the 2025 season averaging 11.6 fantasy points per game in 15 games. Tyler Shough (New Orleans Saints) came in at 14.4 PPG over 11 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Tyler Shough carries a 2.8-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Geno Smith threw for 3025 yards and 19 touchdowns, while Tyler Shough posted 2384 yards and 10 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Geno Smith has his bye in Week 13, and Tyler Shough rests in Week 8. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Geno Smith (age 35) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Tyler Shough (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Tyler Shough outscored Geno Smith by a projected 48 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Geno Smith played 15 games in 2025 compared to Tyler Shough's 11. That durability gap means Geno Smith contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Geno Smith scored 19 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Tyler Shough is 9 years younger than Geno Smith (26 vs 35), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Geno Smith vs Tyler Shough: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatGeno SmithTyler Shough
PPG (Half-PPR)11.614.4
Games Played1511
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)174158
Passing Yards3,0252,384
Passing TDs1910
Pass Yds/Game201.7216.7
Rushing Yards109186
Rushing TDs03
Total TDs1913
TDs/Game1.31.2
Age3526
Experience12 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Tyler Shough holds the PPG edge with solid output at 14.4 points per game. Geno Smith averaged 11.6 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Geno Smith or Tyler Shough in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyler Shough has the edge at 14.4 PPG compared to Geno Smith's 11.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Geno Smith and Tyler Shough average in 2025?

Geno Smith averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Tyler Shough averaged 14.4 PPG over 11 games. That is a difference of 2.8 points per game.

When are Geno Smith and Tyler Shough's bye weeks in 2026?

Geno Smith (LV) has a bye in Week 13, and Tyler Shough (NO) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Geno Smith or Tyler Shough a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Tyler Shough outscored Geno Smith by 2.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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