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Head to Head

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Hayden Hurst vs Kyle PittsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Kyle Pitts is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.8 PPG to Hayden Hurst's 3.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Kyle Pitts is the better fantasy play this season.

Kyle Pitts is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 9.8 PPG and 928 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Hayden Hurst (3.7 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Kyle Pitts as the starter and Hayden Hurst as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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TELos Angeles Chargers#99
Hayden Hurst
PPG
3.7
Games
14
Rec
25
Rec Yds
238
Rec TDs
1
Targets
35
Bye
Week 5
TEAtlanta Falcons#6PPG LEADER
Kyle Pitts
PPG
9.8
Games
17
Rec
88
Rec Yds
928
Rec TDs
5
Targets
118
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Hayden Hurst
Kyle Pitts

Head to Head

3.7 PPG9.8 PPG
14 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Hayden Hurst: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Kyle Pitts: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #6 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Hayden Hurst is producing at 17% of elite pace and Kyle Pitts at 45%. That ranking gap means Kyle Pitts carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Hayden Hurst vs Kyle Pitts: The Full Breakdown

There is a real production gap between these two tight ends. Kyle Pitts (Atlanta Falcons) averaged 9.8 PPG over 17 games in 2025, outscoring Hayden Hurst (Los Angeles Chargers, 3.7 PPG) by 6.1 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

A 6.1-PPG gap gives Kyle Pitts the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Kyle Pitts is the volume tight end in this matchup with 88 receptions for 928 yards, while Hayden Hurst profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (1 scores on 25 catches). In weeks where Hayden Hurst finds the end zone he out-scores Kyle Pitts, but the floor gap is real.

One scheduling note: Hayden Hurst is off Week 5 and Kyle Pitts Week 11. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Kyle Pitts at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Hayden Hurst is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Hayden Hurst (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Kyle Pitts (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Kyle Pitts outscored Hayden Hurst by a projected 104 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Kyle Pitts played 17 games in 2025 compared to Hayden Hurst's 14. That durability gap means Kyle Pitts contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Kyle Pitts scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Kyle Pitts saw 118 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Hayden Hurst vs Kyle Pitts: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatHayden HurstKyle Pitts
PPG (Half-PPR)3.79.8
Games Played1417
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)52167
Receptions2588
Rec/Game1.85.2
Receiving Yards238928
Rec Yds/Game17.054.6
Receiving TDs15
Targets35118
Target Share/Game2.56.9
Age-25
Experience-4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 5Week 11

Summary

Kyle Pitts outscored Hayden Hurst by 6.1 PPG in 2025 (9.8 to 3.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Hayden Hurst or Kyle Pitts in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Kyle Pitts has the edge at 9.8 PPG compared to Hayden Hurst's 3.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Hayden Hurst and Kyle Pitts average in 2025?

Hayden Hurst averaged 3.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Kyle Pitts averaged 9.8 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 6.1 points per game.

When are Hayden Hurst and Kyle Pitts's bye weeks in 2026?

Hayden Hurst (LAC) has a bye in Week 5, and Kyle Pitts (ATL) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Hayden Hurst or Kyle Pitts a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Kyle Pitts outscored Hayden Hurst by 6.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.