Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Hayden Hurst vs Noah GrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Noah Gray is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 4.6 PPG to Hayden Hurst's 3.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Noah Gray is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Noah Gray edges Hayden Hurst by 0.9 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Noah Gray goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TELos Angeles Chargers#99

Hayden Hurst

PPG

3.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

238

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 5

TEKansas City Chiefs#99PPG LEADER

Noah Gray

PPG

4.6

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

385

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Hayden Hurst

Noah Gray

Head to Head

3.7 PPG4.6 PPG

14 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Hayden Hurst: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Hayden Hurst is producing at 17% of elite pace and Noah Gray at 21%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Hayden Hurst vs Noah Gray: The Full Breakdown

Hayden Hurst (3.7 PPG) and Noah Gray (4.6 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two tight ends are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Hayden Hurst played 14 games for the Los Angeles Chargers; Noah Gray suited up 17 times for the Kansas City Chiefs.

A 0.9-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Hayden Hurst had 25 catches for 238 yards; Noah Gray posted 38 for 385. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Hayden Hurst sits Week 5 while Noah Gray is off Week 6. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Hayden Hurst (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Noah Gray outscored Hayden Hurst by a projected 15 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Noah Gray played 17 games in 2025 compared to Hayden Hurst's 14. That durability gap means Noah Gray contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Noah Gray scored 2 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Noah Gray saw 50 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Hayden Hurst vs Noah Gray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Hayden Hurst	Noah Gray
PPG (Half-PPR)	3.7	4.6
Games Played	14	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	52	78
Receptions	25	38
Rec/Game	1.8	2.2
Receiving Yards	238	385
Rec Yds/Game	17.0	22.6
Receiving TDs	1	2
Targets	35	50
Target Share/Game	2.5	2.9
Bye Week	Week 5	Week 6

Summary

Noah Gray outscored Hayden Hurst by 0.9 PPG in 2025 (4.6 to 3.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Hayden Hurst or Noah Gray in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Noah Gray has the edge at 4.6 PPG compared to Hayden Hurst's 3.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Hayden Hurst and Noah Gray average in 2025?▾

Hayden Hurst averaged 3.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.9 points per game.

When are Hayden Hurst and Noah Gray's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Hayden Hurst (LAC) has a bye in Week 5, and Noah Gray (KC) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Hayden Hurst or Noah Gray a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Noah Gray outscored Hayden Hurst by 0.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.