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Head to Head

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Hunter Henry vs Jake FergusonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Hunter Henry is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.8 PPG to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Hunter Henry is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Hunter Henry edges Jake Ferguson by 0.1 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Hunter Henry goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TENew England Patriots#13PPG LEADER
Hunter Henry
PPG
8.8
Games
17
Rec
60
Rec Yds
768
Rec TDs
7
Targets
87
Bye
Week 11
TEDallas Cowboys#14
Jake Ferguson
PPG
8.7
Games
17
Rec
82
Rec Yds
600
Rec TDs
8
Targets
102
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Hunter Henry
Jake Ferguson

Head to Head

8.8 PPG8.7 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 11Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Hunter Henry: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #13 at the position). Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Hunter Henry is producing at 40% of elite pace and Jake Ferguson at 40%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Hunter Henry vs Jake Ferguson: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Hunter Henry finished the 2025 season at 8.8 PPG over 17 games with the New England Patriots, while Jake Ferguson clocked in at 8.7 across 17 appearances for the Dallas Cowboys. A 0.1-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Jake Ferguson is the volume tight end in this matchup with 82 receptions for 600 yards, while Hunter Henry profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (7 scores on 60 catches). In weeks where Hunter Henry finds the end zone he out-scores Jake Ferguson, but the floor gap is real.

One scheduling note: Hunter Henry is off Week 11 and Jake Ferguson Week 14. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Hunter Henry (age 31) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Hunter Henry outscored Jake Ferguson by a projected 2 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Jake Ferguson saw 102 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
  • Jake Ferguson is 4 years younger than Hunter Henry (27 vs 31), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Hunter Henry vs Jake Ferguson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatHunter HenryJake Ferguson
PPG (Half-PPR)8.88.7
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)150148
Receptions6082
Rec/Game3.54.8
Receiving Yards768600
Rec Yds/Game45.235.3
Receiving TDs78
Targets87102
Target Share/Game5.16.0
Age3127
Experience9 yrs3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 11Week 14

Summary

Hunter Henry outscored Jake Ferguson by 0.1 PPG in 2025 (8.8 to 8.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Hunter Henry or Jake Ferguson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Hunter Henry has the edge at 8.8 PPG compared to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Hunter Henry and Jake Ferguson average in 2025?

Hunter Henry averaged 8.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.1 points per game.

When are Hunter Henry and Jake Ferguson's bye weeks in 2026?

Hunter Henry (NE) has a bye in Week 11, and Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Hunter Henry or Jake Ferguson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Hunter Henry outscored Jake Ferguson by 0.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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