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Head to Head

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Isaiah Likely vs Theo JohnsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Theo Johnson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.0 PPG to Isaiah Likely's 3.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Theo Johnson is the better fantasy play this season.

Theo Johnson has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.6-PPG advantage is real (7.0 to 3.4), and Theo Johnson's 5 touchdowns show scoring upside. Isaiah Likely is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TENew York Giants#99
Isaiah Likely
PPG
3.4
Games
14
Rec
27
Rec Yds
307
Rec TDs
1
Targets
36
Bye
Week 11
TENew York Giants#24PPG LEADER
Theo Johnson
PPG
7.0
Games
15
Rec
45
Rec Yds
528
Rec TDs
5
Targets
74
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Isaiah Likely
Theo Johnson

Head to Head

3.4 PPG7.0 PPG
14 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 11Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Isaiah Likely: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Theo Johnson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Isaiah Likely is producing at 15% of elite pace and Theo Johnson at 32%. That ranking gap means Theo Johnson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Isaiah Likely vs Theo Johnson: The Full Breakdown

Isaiah Likely and Theo Johnson are both viable fantasy tight ends heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Isaiah Likely averaged 3.4 PPG across 14 games with the New York Giants, while Theo Johnson posted 7.0 PPG in 15 appearances for the New York Giants.

A 3.6-PPG gap gives Theo Johnson the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Theo Johnson is the volume tight end in this matchup with 45 receptions for 528 yards, while Isaiah Likely profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (1 scores on 27 catches). In weeks where Isaiah Likely finds the end zone he out-scores Theo Johnson, but the floor gap is real.

Isaiah Likely has his bye in Week 11, and Theo Johnson rests in Week 8. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Theo Johnson at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Isaiah Likely is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Isaiah Likely (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Theo Johnson (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Theo Johnson outscored Isaiah Likely by a projected 61 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Theo Johnson played 15 games in 2025 compared to Isaiah Likely's 14. That durability gap means Theo Johnson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Theo Johnson scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Theo Johnson saw 74 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Isaiah Likely vs Theo Johnson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatIsaiah LikelyTheo Johnson
PPG (Half-PPR)3.47.0
Games Played1415
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)48105
Receptions2745
Rec/Game1.93.0
Receiving Yards307528
Rec Yds/Game21.935.2
Receiving TDs15
Targets3674
Target Share/Game2.64.9
Age2625
Experience4 yrs1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 11Week 8

Summary

Theo Johnson outscored Isaiah Likely by 3.6 PPG in 2025 (7.0 to 3.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Isaiah Likely or Theo Johnson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Theo Johnson has the edge at 7.0 PPG compared to Isaiah Likely's 3.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Isaiah Likely and Theo Johnson average in 2025?

Isaiah Likely averaged 3.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Theo Johnson averaged 7.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 3.6 points per game.

When are Isaiah Likely and Theo Johnson's bye weeks in 2026?

Isaiah Likely (NYG) has a bye in Week 11, and Theo Johnson (NYG) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Isaiah Likely or Theo Johnson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Theo Johnson outscored Isaiah Likely by 3.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.