Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Jake Tonges vs Luke MusgraveWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jake Tonges is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.5 PPG to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jake Tonges is the better fantasy play this season.

Jake Tonges has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.7-PPG advantage is real (8.5 to 4.8), and Jake Tonges's 5 touchdowns show scoring upside. Luke Musgrave is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TESan Francisco 49ers#15PPG LEADER

Jake Tonges

PPG

8.5

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

293

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 8

TEGreen Bay Packers#99

Luke Musgrave

PPG

4.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

335

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Jake Tonges

Luke Musgrave

Head to Head

8.5 PPG4.8 PPG

9 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Tonges: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #15 at the position). Luke Musgrave: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jake Tonges is producing at 39% of elite pace and Luke Musgrave at 22%. That ranking gap means Jake Tonges carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jake Tonges vs Luke Musgrave: The Full Breakdown

Two tight ends who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Jake Tonges (San Francisco 49ers) finished the 2025 season averaging 8.5 fantasy points per game in 9 games. Luke Musgrave (Green Bay Packers) came in at 4.8 PPG over 14 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Jake Tonges carries a 3.7-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Jake Tonges had 34 catches for 293 yards; Luke Musgrave posted 30 for 335. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Jake Tonges sits Week 8 while Luke Musgrave is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Jake Tonges at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Luke Musgrave is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jake Tonges (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Luke Musgrave (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Jake Tonges outscored Luke Musgrave by a projected 63 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Luke Musgrave played 14 games in 2025 compared to Jake Tonges's 9. That durability gap means Luke Musgrave contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Jake Tonges scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Jake Tonges saw 46 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Tonges vs Luke Musgrave: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jake Tonges	Luke Musgrave
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.5	4.8
Games Played	9	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	77	67
Receptions	34	30
Rec/Game	3.8	2.1
Receiving Yards	293	335
Rec Yds/Game	32.6	23.9
Receiving TDs	5	2
Targets	46	42
Target Share/Game	5.1	3.0
Age	26	-
Experience	3 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 10

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Jake Tonges holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.5 points per game. Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Tonges or Luke Musgrave in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Jake Tonges has the edge at 8.5 PPG compared to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Tonges and Luke Musgrave average in 2025?▾

Jake Tonges averaged 8.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 9 games in 2025. Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 3.7 points per game.

When are Jake Tonges and Luke Musgrave's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Jake Tonges (SF) has a bye in Week 8, and Luke Musgrave (GB) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jake Tonges or Luke Musgrave a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Jake Tonges outscored Luke Musgrave by 3.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.