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Updated September 8, 2026 from live stats

Jake Tonges or Noah GrayWho should you draft or start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

Start Jake Tonges over Noah Gray in 2026.

Jake Tonges averaged 8.5 PPG in 2025 to Noah Gray's 4.6, a 3.9 point per game edge. Tonges posted that edge in only 9 games, so the per-game ceiling is real but watch his availability.

The Bottom Line

Jake Tonges has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.9-PPG advantage is real (8.5 to 4.6), and Jake Tonges's 5 touchdowns show scoring upside. Noah Gray is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TESan Francisco 49ers#15PPG LEADER

Jake Tonges

PPG

8.5

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

293

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 8

TEKansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray

PPG

4.6

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

385

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Jake Tonges

Noah Gray

Head to Head

8.5 PPG4.6 PPG

9 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Tonges: Tier 2 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #15 at the position). Noah Gray: Unranked TE. Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jake Tonges is producing at 39% of elite pace and Noah Gray at 21%. That per-game gap means Jake Tonges carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jake Tonges vs Noah Gray: The Full Breakdown

Two tight ends who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Jake Tonges (San Francisco 49ers) finished the 2025 season averaging 8.5 fantasy points per game in 9 games. Noah Gray (Kansas City Chiefs) came in at 4.6 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Jake Tonges carries a 3.9-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Jake Tonges had 34 catches for 293 yards; Noah Gray posted 38 for 385. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Jake Tonges has his bye in Week 8, and Noah Gray rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Jake Tonges at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Noah Gray is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jake Tonges (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Jake Tonges outscored Noah Gray by a projected 66 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Noah Gray played 17 games in 2025 compared to Jake Tonges's 9. That durability gap means Noah Gray contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Jake Tonges scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Noah Gray saw 50 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Tonges vs Noah Gray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jake Tonges	Noah Gray
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.5	4.6
Games Played	9	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	77	78
Receptions	34	38
Rec/Game	3.8	2.2
Receiving Yards	293	385
Rec Yds/Game	32.6	22.6
Receiving TDs	5	2
Targets	46	50
Target Share/Game	5.1	2.9
Age	27	-
Experience	3 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Jake Tonges holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.5 points per game. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Tonges or Noah Gray in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Jake Tonges has the edge at 8.5 PPG compared to Noah Gray's 4.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

Should I draft Jake Tonges or Noah Gray in 2026 fantasy football?▾

Jake Tonges is the earlier pick. He averaged 8.5 fantasy points per game in 2025 to Noah Gray's 4.6, a 3.9 point per game edge over a full season. Positional rank, fantasy tier, and bye week are broken down below.

How many fantasy points did Jake Tonges and Noah Gray average in 2025?▾

Jake Tonges averaged 8.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 9 games in 2025. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 3.9 points per game.

When are Jake Tonges and Noah Gray's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Jake Tonges (SF) has a bye in Week 8, and Noah Gray (KC) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jake Tonges or Noah Gray a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Jake Tonges outscored Noah Gray by 3.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.