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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Jake Tonges vs Terrance FergusonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jake Tonges is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.5 PPG to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jake Tonges is the better fantasy play this season.

Jake Tonges is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 8.5 PPG and 293 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Terrance Ferguson (3.3 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Jake Tonges as the starter and Terrance Ferguson as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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TESan Francisco 49ers#15PPG LEADER
Jake Tonges
PPG
8.5
Games
9
Rec
34
Rec Yds
293
Rec TDs
5
Targets
46
Bye
Week 8
TELos Angeles Rams#99
Terrance Ferguson
PPG
3.3
Games
14
Rec
11
Rec Yds
231
Rec TDs
3
Targets
25
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jake Tonges
Terrance Ferguson

Head to Head

8.5 PPG3.3 PPG
9 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Tonges: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #15 at the position). Terrance Ferguson: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jake Tonges is producing at 39% of elite pace and Terrance Ferguson at 15%. That ranking gap means Jake Tonges carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jake Tonges vs Terrance Ferguson: The Full Breakdown

Jake Tonges and Terrance Ferguson are both viable fantasy tight ends heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Jake Tonges averaged 8.5 PPG across 9 games with the San Francisco 49ers, while Terrance Ferguson posted 3.3 PPG in 14 appearances for the Los Angeles Rams.

A 5.2-PPG gap gives Jake Tonges the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Jake Tonges is the volume tight end in this matchup with 34 receptions for 293 yards, while Terrance Ferguson profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (3 scores on 11 catches). In weeks where Terrance Ferguson finds the end zone he out-scores Jake Tonges, but the floor gap is real.

Jake Tonges has his bye in Week 8, and Terrance Ferguson rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Jake Tonges at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Terrance Ferguson is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jake Tonges (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Terrance Ferguson (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Jake Tonges outscored Terrance Ferguson by a projected 88 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Terrance Ferguson played 14 games in 2025 compared to Jake Tonges's 9. That durability gap means Terrance Ferguson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jake Tonges scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Jake Tonges saw 46 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Tonges vs Terrance Ferguson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJake TongesTerrance Ferguson
PPG (Half-PPR)8.53.3
Games Played914
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)7746
Receptions3411
Rec/Game3.80.8
Receiving Yards293231
Rec Yds/Game32.616.5
Receiving TDs53
Targets4625
Target Share/Game5.11.8
Age2623
Experience3 yrs1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 6

Summary

Jake Tonges outscored Terrance Ferguson by 5.2 PPG in 2025 (8.5 to 3.3). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Tonges or Terrance Ferguson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jake Tonges has the edge at 8.5 PPG compared to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Tonges and Terrance Ferguson average in 2025?

Jake Tonges averaged 8.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 9 games in 2025. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 5.2 points per game.

When are Jake Tonges and Terrance Ferguson's bye weeks in 2026?

Jake Tonges (SF) has a bye in Week 8, and Terrance Ferguson (LAR) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jake Tonges or Terrance Ferguson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Jake Tonges outscored Terrance Ferguson by 5.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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