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Ja'Marr Chase vs Tyler LockettWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Ja'Marr Chase is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 15.7 PPG to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Ja'Marr Chase is the better fantasy play this season.

Ja'Marr Chase is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 15.7 PPG and 1,426 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Tyler Lockett (6.9 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Ja'Marr Chase as the starter and Tyler Lockett as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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WRCincinnati Bengals#3PPG LEADER
Ja'Marr Chase
PPG
15.7
Games
16
Rec
125
Rec Yds
1,412
Rec TDs
8
Targets
185
Bye
Week 6
WRSeattle Seahawks#99
Tyler Lockett
PPG
6.9
Games
15
Rec
48
Rec Yds
548
Rec TDs
2
Targets
72
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Ja'Marr Chase
Tyler Lockett

Head to Head

15.7 PPG6.9 PPG
16 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Ja'Marr Chase: Tier 1 (Elite) WR (ranked #3 at the position). Tyler Lockett: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Ja'Marr Chase is producing at 71% of elite pace and Tyler Lockett at 31%. That ranking gap means Ja'Marr Chase carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Ja'Marr Chase vs Tyler Lockett: The Full Breakdown

There is a real production gap between these two wide receivers. Ja'Marr Chase (Cincinnati Bengals) averaged 15.7 PPG over 16 games in 2025, outscoring Tyler Lockett (Seattle Seahawks, 6.9 PPG) by 8.8 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

A 8.8-PPG gap gives Ja'Marr Chase the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Target volume is the story here. Ja'Marr Chase saw 185 targets in 2025, while Tyler Lockett drew 72. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Ja'Marr Chase, even in weeks where Tyler Lockett posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

One scheduling note: Ja'Marr Chase is off Week 6 and Tyler Lockett Week 10. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Ja'Marr Chase at a discount because your league-mates undervalue wide receiver production, do it. Tyler Lockett is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Ja'Marr Chase (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyler Lockett (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Ja'Marr Chase outscored Tyler Lockett by a projected 150 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Ja'Marr Chase played 16 games in 2025 compared to Tyler Lockett's 15. That durability gap means Ja'Marr Chase contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Ja'Marr Chase scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Ja'Marr Chase saw 185 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Ja'Marr Chase vs Tyler Lockett: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJa'Marr ChaseTyler Lockett
PPG (Half-PPR)15.76.9
Games Played1615
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)251104
Receptions12548
Rec/Game7.83.2
Receiving Yards1,412548
Rec Yds/Game88.336.5
Receiving TDs82
Targets18572
Target Share/Game11.64.8
Age26-
Experience4 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 10

Summary

Ja'Marr Chase outscored Tyler Lockett by 8.8 PPG in 2025 (15.7 to 6.9). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Ja'Marr Chase or Tyler Lockett in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Ja'Marr Chase has the edge at 15.7 PPG compared to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Ja'Marr Chase and Tyler Lockett average in 2025?

Ja'Marr Chase averaged 15.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Tyler Lockett averaged 6.9 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 8.8 points per game.

When are Ja'Marr Chase and Tyler Lockett's bye weeks in 2026?

Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) has a bye in Week 6, and Tyler Lockett (SEA) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Ja'Marr Chase or Tyler Lockett a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Ja'Marr Chase outscored Tyler Lockett by 8.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.