DraftCall
DraftCallFantasy Football

Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Jaylen Warren vs Justice HillWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jaylen Warren is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.3 PPG to Justice Hill's 6.1 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jaylen Warren is the better fantasy play this season.

Jaylen Warren is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 12.3 PPG and 1,291 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Justice Hill (6.1 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Jaylen Warren as the starter and Justice Hill as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Jaylen Warren and Justice Hill in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App
RBPittsburgh Steelers#18PPG LEADER
Jaylen Warren
PPG
12.3
Games
16
Rush Yds
958
Rush TDs
6
Rec
40
Rec Yds
333
Bye
Week 9
RBBaltimore Ravens#53
Justice Hill
PPG
6.1
Games
9
Rush Yds
93
Rush TDs
2
Rec
21
Rec Yds
169
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jaylen Warren
Justice Hill

Head to Head

12.3 PPG6.1 PPG
16 GP9 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Jaylen Warren: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #18 at the position). Justice Hill: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #53 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Jaylen Warren is producing at 56% of elite pace and Justice Hill at 28%. That ranking gap means Jaylen Warren carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jaylen Warren vs Justice Hill: The Full Breakdown

Jaylen Warren and Justice Hill are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Pittsburgh Steelers running back averaged 12.3 PPG in 2025, a full 6.2 points per game ahead of Justice Hill's 6.1 with the Baltimore Ravens. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

Jaylen Warren carries a 6.2-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Jaylen Warren is the receiving back in this matchup, turning 40 targets into 333 yards, while Justice Hill profiles as a more traditional rusher with 93 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. In PPR and half-PPR formats Jaylen Warren carries the higher weekly floor. In standard leagues the gap tightens considerably.

Jaylen Warren has his bye in Week 9, and Justice Hill rests in Week 13. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at running back for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Jaylen Warren at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Justice Hill is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jaylen Warren (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Justice Hill (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Jaylen Warren outscored Justice Hill by a projected 105 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jaylen Warren played 16 games in 2025 compared to Justice Hill's 9. That durability gap means Jaylen Warren contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jaylen Warren scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Jaylen Warren caught 40 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jaylen Warren vs Justice Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJaylen WarrenJustice Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)12.36.1
Games Played169
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)19755
Rushing Yards95893
Rush Yds/Game59.910.3
Rushing TDs62
Receptions4021
Receiving Yards333169
Targets4527
Total TDs83
Age2728
Experience3 yrs6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Jaylen Warren holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 12.3 points per game. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

DraftCall app on iPhone

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Jaylen Warren vs Justice Hill

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Jaylen Warren vs Justice Hill

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jaylen Warren or Justice Hill in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jaylen Warren has the edge at 12.3 PPG compared to Justice Hill's 6.1 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jaylen Warren and Justice Hill average in 2025?

Jaylen Warren averaged 12.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 6.2 points per game.

When are Jaylen Warren and Justice Hill's bye weeks in 2026?

Jaylen Warren (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Justice Hill (BAL) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jaylen Warren or Justice Hill a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Jaylen Warren outscored Justice Hill by 6.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

Fantasy Managers Also Compared

Similar matchups other managers are researching right now.