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Jaylen Warren vs Tetairoa McMillanWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jaylen Warren is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.3 PPG to Tetairoa McMillan's 10.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jaylen Warren is the better fantasy play this season.

Cross-position decisions depend on league format. In half-PPR, Jaylen Warren (12.3 PPG) is the higher-floor play. Tetairoa McMillan (10.5 PPG) could win a specific week on touchdown variance. For FLEX spots, lean toward the player with the softer defensive matchup that week rather than defaulting to season averages.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBPittsburgh Steelers#18PPG LEADER
Jaylen Warren
PPG
12.3
Games
16
Rush Yds
958
Rush TDs
6
Rec
40
Rec Yds
333
Bye
Week 9
WRCarolina Panthers#26
Tetairoa McMillan
PPG
10.5
Games
17
Rec
70
Rec Yds
1,014
Rec TDs
7
Targets
122
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jaylen Warren
Tetairoa McMillan

Head to Head

12.3 PPG10.5 PPG
16 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Jaylen Warren: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #18 at the position). Tetairoa McMillan: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #26 at the position). Comparing across positions, raw PPG is less useful than positional scarcity. A Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB is harder to replace on waivers than a Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR in most league formats.

Jaylen Warren vs Tetairoa McMillan: The Full Breakdown

Comparing Jaylen Warren (RB, Pittsburgh Steelers) against Tetairoa McMillan (WR, Carolina Panthers) means weighing two different roles in your fantasy lineup. Jaylen Warren averaged 12.3 PPG in 2025 over 16 games, while Tetairoa McMillan posted 10.5 PPG across 17 games.

Cross-position FLEX decisions cannot be made on PPG alone. Positional scarcity, matchup quality, floor versus ceiling, and league scoring format all shift the answer. A 14 PPG tight end in a thin TE week is often worth more than a 16 PPG receiver in a deep WR week, because the opportunity cost on the waiver wire is wildly different.

DraftCall's AI engine weighs all of these signals and returns a verdict with clear reasoning, so you are not cross-referencing four different rankings tabs on a Sunday morning.

Jaylen Warren has his bye in Week 9, Tetairoa McMillan in Week 5. Plan your FLEX rotation around those weeks, especially if either player is anchoring your roster.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Jaylen Warren (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Tetairoa McMillan (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Jaylen Warren outscored Tetairoa McMillan by a projected 31 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games in 2025 compared to Jaylen Warren's 16. That durability gap means Tetairoa McMillan contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jaylen Warren scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Tetairoa McMillan caught 70 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
  • Tetairoa McMillan is 4 years younger than Jaylen Warren (23 vs 27), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jaylen Warren vs Tetairoa McMillan: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJaylen WarrenTetairoa McMillan
PPG (Half-PPR)12.310.5
Games Played1617
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)197179
Rushing Yards9580
Rush Yds/Game59.90.0
Rushing TDs60
Receptions4070
Receiving Yards3331,014
Targets45122
Total TDs87
Age2723
Experience3 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 5

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Jaylen Warren holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 12.3 points per game. Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jaylen Warren or Tetairoa McMillan in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jaylen Warren has the edge at 12.3 PPG compared to Tetairoa McMillan's 10.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jaylen Warren and Tetairoa McMillan average in 2025?

Jaylen Warren averaged 12.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.8 points per game.

When are Jaylen Warren and Tetairoa McMillan's bye weeks in 2026?

Jaylen Warren (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

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