Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Joe Burrow vs Trevor LawrenceWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 19.9 PPG to Joe Burrow's 16.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

Trevor Lawrence has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.1-PPG advantage is real (19.9 to 16.8), and Trevor Lawrence's 38 touchdowns show scoring upside. Joe Burrow is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBCincinnati Bengals#15

Joe Burrow

PPG

16.8

Games

Pass Yds

1,809

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 6

QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER

Trevor Lawrence

PPG

19.9

Games

Pass Yds

4,007

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

359

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Joe Burrow

Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

16.8 PPG19.9 PPG

8 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Joe Burrow: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #15 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Joe Burrow is producing at 76% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Joe Burrow vs Trevor Lawrence: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals) finished the 2025 season averaging 16.8 fantasy points per game in 8 games. Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) came in at 19.9 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Trevor Lawrence carries a 3.1-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Joe Burrow threw for 1809 yards and 17 touchdowns, while Trevor Lawrence posted 4007 yards and 29 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Joe Burrow sits Week 6 while Trevor Lawrence is off Week 7. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Trevor Lawrence at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Joe Burrow is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Joe Burrow (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Trevor Lawrence outscored Joe Burrow by a projected 53 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Joe Burrow's 8. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Trevor Lawrence added 359 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Joe Burrow vs Trevor Lawrence: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Joe Burrow	Trevor Lawrence
PPG (Half-PPR)	16.8	19.9
Games Played	8	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	134	338
Passing Yards	1,809	4,007
Passing TDs	17	29
Pass Yds/Game	226.1	235.7
Rushing Yards	41	359
Rushing TDs	0	9
Total TDs	17	38
TDs/Game	2.1	2.2
Age	29	26
Experience	5 yrs	4 yrs
Bye Week	Week 6	Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Trevor Lawrence holds the PPG edge with strong output at 19.9 points per game. Joe Burrow averaged 16.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Joe Burrow or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Joe Burrow's 16.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?▾

Joe Burrow averaged 16.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 8 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 3.1 points per game.

When are Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Joe Burrow (CIN) has a bye in Week 6, and Trevor Lawrence (JAX) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Joe Burrow or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Trevor Lawrence outscored Joe Burrow by 3.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.