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Jonathan Taylor vs Justice HillWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jonathan Taylor is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 20.0 PPG to Justice Hill's 6.1 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jonathan Taylor is the better fantasy play this season.

Jonathan Taylor is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 20.0 PPG and 1,963 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Justice Hill (6.1 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Jonathan Taylor as the starter and Justice Hill as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBIndianapolis Colts#2PPG LEADER
Jonathan Taylor
PPG
20.0
Games
17
Rush Yds
1,585
Rush TDs
18
Rec
46
Rec Yds
378
Bye
Week 13
RBBaltimore Ravens#53
Justice Hill
PPG
6.1
Games
9
Rush Yds
93
Rush TDs
2
Rec
21
Rec Yds
169
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jonathan Taylor
Justice Hill

Head to Head

20.0 PPG6.1 PPG
17 GP9 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Jonathan Taylor: Tier 1 (Elite) RB (ranked #2 at the position). Justice Hill: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #53 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Jonathan Taylor is producing at 91% of elite pace and Justice Hill at 28%. That ranking gap means Jonathan Taylor carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jonathan Taylor vs Justice Hill: The Full Breakdown

Jonathan Taylor and Justice Hill are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Indianapolis Colts running back averaged 20.0 PPG in 2025, a full 13.9 points per game ahead of Justice Hill's 6.1 with the Baltimore Ravens. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

A 13.9-PPG gap gives Jonathan Taylor the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Jonathan Taylor is the receiving back in this matchup, turning 46 targets into 378 yards, while Justice Hill profiles as a more traditional rusher with 93 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. In PPR and half-PPR formats Jonathan Taylor carries the higher weekly floor. In standard leagues the gap tightens considerably.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 13 bye. That means you need a backup plan at running back for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Jonathan Taylor at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Justice Hill is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jonathan Taylor (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Justice Hill (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Jonathan Taylor outscored Justice Hill by a projected 236 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jonathan Taylor played 17 games in 2025 compared to Justice Hill's 9. That durability gap means Jonathan Taylor contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jonathan Taylor scored 20 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Jonathan Taylor caught 46 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
  • Both players share a Week 13 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jonathan Taylor vs Justice Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJonathan TaylorJustice Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)20.06.1
Games Played179
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)34055
Rushing Yards1,58593
Rush Yds/Game93.210.3
Rushing TDs182
Receptions4621
Receiving Yards378169
Targets5527
Total TDs203
Age2728
Experience5 yrs6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 13

Summary

Jonathan Taylor outscored Justice Hill by 13.9 PPG in 2025 (20.0 to 6.1). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jonathan Taylor or Justice Hill in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jonathan Taylor has the edge at 20.0 PPG compared to Justice Hill's 6.1 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jonathan Taylor and Justice Hill average in 2025?

Jonathan Taylor averaged 20.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 13.9 points per game.

Do Jonathan Taylor and Justice Hill share a bye week?

Yes, both Jonathan Taylor and Justice Hill share a Week 13 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at running back for that week.

Is Jonathan Taylor or Justice Hill a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Jonathan Taylor outscored Justice Hill by 13.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.