Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Jonnu Smith vs Luke MusgraveWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jonnu Smith is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.2 PPG to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jonnu Smith is the better fantasy play this season.

Jonnu Smith has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.4-PPG advantage is real (8.2 to 4.8), and Jonnu Smith's 4 touchdowns show scoring upside. Luke Musgrave is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEMiami Dolphins#99PPG LEADER

Jonnu Smith

PPG

8.2

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

562

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

TEGreen Bay Packers#99

Luke Musgrave

PPG

4.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

335

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Jonnu Smith

Luke Musgrave

Head to Head

8.2 PPG4.8 PPG

15 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Jonnu Smith: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Luke Musgrave: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jonnu Smith is producing at 37% of elite pace and Luke Musgrave at 22%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Jonnu Smith vs Luke Musgrave: The Full Breakdown

Jonnu Smith and Luke Musgrave are both viable fantasy tight ends heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Jonnu Smith averaged 8.2 PPG across 15 games with the Miami Dolphins, while Luke Musgrave posted 4.8 PPG in 14 appearances for the Green Bay Packers.

A 3.4-PPG gap gives Jonnu Smith the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Jonnu Smith is the volume tight end in this matchup with 52 receptions for 562 yards, while Luke Musgrave profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (2 scores on 30 catches). In weeks where Luke Musgrave finds the end zone he out-scores Jonnu Smith, but the floor gap is real.

Jonnu Smith has his bye in Week 6, and Luke Musgrave rests in Week 10. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Jonnu Smith at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Luke Musgrave is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jonnu Smith (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Luke Musgrave (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Jonnu Smith outscored Luke Musgrave by a projected 58 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Jonnu Smith played 15 games in 2025 compared to Luke Musgrave's 14. That durability gap means Jonnu Smith contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Jonnu Smith scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Jonnu Smith saw 68 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jonnu Smith vs Luke Musgrave: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jonnu Smith	Luke Musgrave
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.2	4.8
Games Played	15	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	123	67
Receptions	52	30
Rec/Game	3.5	2.1
Receiving Yards	562	335
Rec Yds/Game	37.5	23.9
Receiving TDs	4	2
Targets	68	42
Target Share/Game	4.5	3.0
Bye Week	Week 6	Week 10

Summary

Jonnu Smith outscored Luke Musgrave by 3.4 PPG in 2025 (8.2 to 4.8). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jonnu Smith or Luke Musgrave in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Jonnu Smith has the edge at 8.2 PPG compared to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jonnu Smith and Luke Musgrave average in 2025?▾

Jonnu Smith averaged 8.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 3.4 points per game.

When are Jonnu Smith and Luke Musgrave's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Jonnu Smith (MIA) has a bye in Week 6, and Luke Musgrave (GB) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jonnu Smith or Luke Musgrave a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Jonnu Smith outscored Luke Musgrave by 3.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.