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Head to Head

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Jonnu Smith vs Noah GrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jonnu Smith is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.2 PPG to Noah Gray's 4.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jonnu Smith is the better fantasy play this season.

Jonnu Smith has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.6-PPG advantage is real (8.2 to 4.6), and Jonnu Smith's 4 touchdowns show scoring upside. Noah Gray is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEMiami Dolphins#99PPG LEADER
Jonnu Smith
PPG
8.2
Games
15
Rec
52
Rec Yds
562
Rec TDs
4
Targets
68
Bye
Week 6
TEKansas City Chiefs#99
Noah Gray
PPG
4.6
Games
17
Rec
38
Rec Yds
385
Rec TDs
2
Targets
50
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jonnu Smith
Noah Gray

Head to Head

8.2 PPG4.6 PPG
15 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Jonnu Smith: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jonnu Smith is producing at 37% of elite pace and Noah Gray at 21%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Jonnu Smith vs Noah Gray: The Full Breakdown

Jonnu Smith and Noah Gray are both viable fantasy tight ends heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Jonnu Smith averaged 8.2 PPG across 15 games with the Miami Dolphins, while Noah Gray posted 4.6 PPG in 17 appearances for the Kansas City Chiefs.

A 3.6-PPG gap gives Jonnu Smith the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Jonnu Smith had 52 catches for 562 yards; Noah Gray posted 38 for 385. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 6 bye. That means you need a backup plan at tight end for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Jonnu Smith at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Noah Gray is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jonnu Smith (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Jonnu Smith outscored Noah Gray by a projected 61 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Noah Gray played 17 games in 2025 compared to Jonnu Smith's 15. That durability gap means Noah Gray contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jonnu Smith scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Jonnu Smith saw 68 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
  • Both players share a Week 6 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jonnu Smith vs Noah Gray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJonnu SmithNoah Gray
PPG (Half-PPR)8.24.6
Games Played1517
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)12378
Receptions5238
Rec/Game3.52.2
Receiving Yards562385
Rec Yds/Game37.522.6
Receiving TDs42
Targets6850
Target Share/Game4.52.9
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 6

Summary

Jonnu Smith outscored Noah Gray by 3.6 PPG in 2025 (8.2 to 4.6). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jonnu Smith or Noah Gray in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jonnu Smith has the edge at 8.2 PPG compared to Noah Gray's 4.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jonnu Smith and Noah Gray average in 2025?

Jonnu Smith averaged 8.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 3.6 points per game.

Do Jonnu Smith and Noah Gray share a bye week?

Yes, both Jonnu Smith and Noah Gray share a Week 6 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at tight end for that week.

Is Jonnu Smith or Noah Gray a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Jonnu Smith outscored Noah Gray by 3.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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