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Head to Head

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Jonnu Smith vs Tyler WarrenWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyler Warren is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Jonnu Smith's 8.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyler Warren is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Tyler Warren edges Jonnu Smith by 0.7 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Tyler Warren goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEMiami Dolphins#99
Jonnu Smith
PPG
8.2
Games
15
Rec
52
Rec Yds
562
Rec TDs
4
Targets
68
Bye
Week 6
TEIndianapolis Colts#12PPG LEADER
Tyler Warren
PPG
8.9
Games
17
Rec
76
Rec Yds
817
Rec TDs
4
Targets
112
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jonnu Smith
Tyler Warren

Head to Head

8.2 PPG8.9 PPG
15 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Jonnu Smith: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Tyler Warren: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #12 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jonnu Smith is producing at 37% of elite pace and Tyler Warren at 40%. That ranking gap means Tyler Warren carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jonnu Smith vs Tyler Warren: The Full Breakdown

Jonnu Smith (8.2 PPG) and Tyler Warren (8.9 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two tight ends are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Jonnu Smith played 15 games for the Miami Dolphins; Tyler Warren suited up 17 times for the Indianapolis Colts.

A 0.7-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Tyler Warren is the volume tight end in this matchup with 76 receptions for 817 yards, while Jonnu Smith profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (4 scores on 52 catches). In weeks where Jonnu Smith finds the end zone he out-scores Tyler Warren, but the floor gap is real.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Jonnu Smith sits Week 6 while Tyler Warren is off Week 13. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Jonnu Smith (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyler Warren (age 24) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Tyler Warren outscored Jonnu Smith by a projected 12 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Tyler Warren played 17 games in 2025 compared to Jonnu Smith's 15. That durability gap means Tyler Warren contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Tyler Warren scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Tyler Warren saw 112 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jonnu Smith vs Tyler Warren: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJonnu SmithTyler Warren
PPG (Half-PPR)8.28.9
Games Played1517
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)123151
Receptions5276
Rec/Game3.54.5
Receiving Yards562817
Rec Yds/Game37.548.1
Receiving TDs44
Targets68112
Target Share/Game4.56.6
Age-24
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Tyler Warren holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.9 points per game. Jonnu Smith averaged 8.2 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jonnu Smith or Tyler Warren in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyler Warren has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Jonnu Smith's 8.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jonnu Smith and Tyler Warren average in 2025?

Jonnu Smith averaged 8.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Tyler Warren averaged 8.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.7 points per game.

When are Jonnu Smith and Tyler Warren's bye weeks in 2026?

Jonnu Smith (MIA) has a bye in Week 6, and Tyler Warren (IND) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jonnu Smith or Tyler Warren a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Tyler Warren outscored Jonnu Smith by 0.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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