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Josh Downs vs Justin Jefferson

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

WRIndianapolis Colts
Josh Downs
PPG
6.7
Games
16
Rec
58
Rec Yds
566
Rec TDs
4
Targets
88
Bye
Week 14
WRMinnesota VikingsPPG LEADER
Justin Jefferson
PPG
9.4
Games
17
Rec
84
Rec Yds
1,048
Rec TDs
2
Targets
141
Bye
Week 6

Head to Head

6.7 PPG9.4 PPG
16 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 6

Josh Downs vs Justin Jefferson: Who Should You Start?

Two wide receivers who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Josh Downs (Indianapolis Colts) finished the 2025 season averaging 6.7 fantasy points per game in 16 games. Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings) came in at 9.4 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Justin Jefferson carries a 2.7-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Target volume is the story here. Justin Jefferson saw 141 targets in 2025, while Josh Downs drew 88. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Justin Jefferson, even in weeks where Josh Downs posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Josh Downs has his bye in Week 14, and Justin Jefferson rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at wide receiver for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

The Bottom Line

Based on 2025 production, Justin Jefferson holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 9.4 points per game. Josh Downs averaged 6.7 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word — for a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Josh Downs or Justin Jefferson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Justin Jefferson has the edge at 9.4 PPG compared to Josh Downs's 6.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Josh Downs and Justin Jefferson average in 2025?

Josh Downs averaged 6.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Justin Jefferson averaged 9.4 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.7 points per game.

When are Josh Downs and Justin Jefferson's bye weeks in 2026?

Josh Downs (IND) has a bye in Week 14, and Justin Jefferson (MIN) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Josh Downs or Justin Jefferson a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Justin Jefferson outscored Josh Downs by 2.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.