Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Josh Downs vs Keon ColemanWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Keon Coleman is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.0 PPG to Josh Downs's 6.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Keon Coleman is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Keon Coleman and Josh Downs are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.3-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRIndianapolis Colts#99

Josh Downs

PPG

6.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

566

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 14

WRBuffalo Bills#59PPG LEADER

Keon Coleman

PPG

7.0

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

404

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Josh Downs

Keon Coleman

Head to Head

6.7 PPG7.0 PPG

16 GP12 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Josh Downs: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Keon Coleman: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Josh Downs is producing at 30% of elite pace and Keon Coleman at 32%. That ranking gap means Keon Coleman carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Josh Downs vs Keon Coleman: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Josh Downs finished the 2025 season at 6.7 PPG over 16 games with the Indianapolis Colts, while Keon Coleman clocked in at 7.0 across 12 appearances for the Buffalo Bills. A 0.3-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Target volume is the story here. Josh Downs saw 88 targets in 2025, while Keon Coleman drew 59. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Josh Downs, even in weeks where Keon Coleman posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

One scheduling note: Josh Downs is off Week 14 and Keon Coleman Week 7. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Josh Downs (age 24) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Keon Coleman (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Keon Coleman outscored Josh Downs by a projected 5 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Josh Downs played 16 games in 2025 compared to Keon Coleman's 12. That durability gap means Josh Downs contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Josh Downs scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Josh Downs saw 88 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Josh Downs vs Keon Coleman: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Josh Downs	Keon Coleman
PPG (Half-PPR)	6.7	7.0
Games Played	16	12
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	107	84
Receptions	58	38
Rec/Game	3.6	3.2
Receiving Yards	566	404
Rec Yds/Game	35.4	33.7
Receiving TDs	4	4
Targets	88	59
Target Share/Game	5.5	4.9
Age	24	23
Experience	3 yrs	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 7

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Keon Coleman at 7.0 PPG, 0.3 points per game above Josh Downs's 6.7. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Josh Downs or Keon Coleman in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Keon Coleman has the edge at 7.0 PPG compared to Josh Downs's 6.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Josh Downs and Keon Coleman average in 2025?▾

Josh Downs averaged 6.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Keon Coleman averaged 7.0 PPG over 12 games. That is a difference of 0.3 points per game.

When are Josh Downs and Keon Coleman's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Josh Downs (IND) has a bye in Week 14, and Keon Coleman (BUF) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Josh Downs or Keon Coleman a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Keon Coleman outscored Josh Downs by 0.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.