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Head to Head

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Justin Fields vs Patrick MahomesWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Patrick Mahomes is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 20.4 PPG to Justin Fields's 15.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Patrick Mahomes is the better fantasy play this season.

Patrick Mahomes has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.5-PPG advantage is real (20.4 to 15.9), and Patrick Mahomes's 27 touchdowns show scoring upside. Justin Fields is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBNew York Jets#20
Justin Fields
PPG
15.9
Games
9
Pass Yds
1,259
Pass TDs
7
Rush Yds
383
Rush TDs
4
Bye
Week 13
QBKansas City Chiefs#4PPG LEADER
Patrick Mahomes
PPG
20.4
Games
14
Pass Yds
3,587
Pass TDs
22
Rush Yds
422
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Justin Fields
Patrick Mahomes

Head to Head

15.9 PPG20.4 PPG
9 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Justin Fields: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #20 at the position). Patrick Mahomes: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #4 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Justin Fields is producing at 72% of elite pace and Patrick Mahomes at 93%. That ranking gap means Patrick Mahomes carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Justin Fields vs Patrick Mahomes: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Justin Fields (New York Jets) finished the 2025 season averaging 15.9 fantasy points per game in 9 games. Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) came in at 20.4 PPG over 14 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Patrick Mahomes carries a 4.5-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Patrick Mahomes offers meaningful rushing upside with 422 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Justin Fields (1259 passing yards, 7 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Justin Fields has his bye in Week 13, and Patrick Mahomes rests in Week 5. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Patrick Mahomes at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Justin Fields is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Justin Fields (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Patrick Mahomes (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Patrick Mahomes outscored Justin Fields by a projected 76 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Patrick Mahomes played 14 games in 2025 compared to Justin Fields's 9. That durability gap means Patrick Mahomes contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Patrick Mahomes scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Patrick Mahomes added 422 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Justin Fields vs Patrick Mahomes: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJustin FieldsPatrick Mahomes
PPG (Half-PPR)15.920.4
Games Played914
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)143286
Passing Yards1,2593,587
Passing TDs722
Pass Yds/Game139.9256.2
Rushing Yards383422
Rushing TDs45
Total TDs1127
TDs/Game1.21.9
Age2730
Experience4 yrs8 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 5

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Patrick Mahomes holds the PPG edge with strong output at 20.4 points per game. Justin Fields averaged 15.9 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Justin Fields or Patrick Mahomes in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Patrick Mahomes has the edge at 20.4 PPG compared to Justin Fields's 15.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Justin Fields and Patrick Mahomes average in 2025?

Justin Fields averaged 15.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 9 games in 2025. Patrick Mahomes averaged 20.4 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 4.5 points per game.

When are Justin Fields and Patrick Mahomes's bye weeks in 2026?

Justin Fields (NYJ) has a bye in Week 13, and Patrick Mahomes (KC) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Justin Fields or Patrick Mahomes a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Patrick Mahomes outscored Justin Fields by 4.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.